2019-12-10 • Updated
Trade idea
SELL 19.1950; TP1 19.15; TP2 19.08; SL 19.22
USD/MXN has found itself within a rather steep downtrend. The pair has topped at 19.6550 at the end of November and during the last several days dropped below the 100-, 50- and 200-day MAs. Although in the short-term the USD is obviously oversold, daily Awesome Oscillator has just approach the zero line, so there’s still scope for more downside. In addition, the pair has experienced prolonged descents before. It has already retraced 61.8% of the October-November advance (this level of 19.26 is now a resistance) and the natural level to look at next is the 78.6% Fibonacci at 19.50. The further support is at 19.08 (support line).
Amid concerns of a Chinese economic slowdown, reports of declining investment often overlook China's efficient investment strategy in emerging sectors for long-term growth. China has taken measures to stabilize foreign and private sector investments, like reducing the reserve requirement ratio to boost investor confidence.
The upcoming August inflation data may send mixed signals. The 12-month headline inflation rate is expected to rise to 3.6%, causing concerns for the Biden administration. However, core inflation, which excludes food and energy prices, is projected to decrease to 4.3%, aligning with the Federal Reserve's goals. Past price trends influence both figures, so looking at recent data for a more accurate picture is crucial.
The odds of a final interest rate hike by the US Federal Reserve (Fed) this year have dropped after US job openings hit their lowest levels since early 2021. This has led to a correction in the US Dollar as traders reduced their bets on further rate hikes.
Welcome to October, the tenth month of 2023. For this installment of What to Trade, I have handpicked a few of my favorite trade ideas for the month. Let’s go over a few of them.
The past several weeks have been a real triumph for the bulls in the oil market. The Brent spot price grew by 8.5% during the last month.
Gold prices are rising for three consecutive days ahead of the Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate decision, which is expected to remain unchanged due to declining inflation and a positive economic outlook. Investors are keen on the Fed's interest rate guidance, fearing a hawkish stance that could trigger market risk aversion.
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Don’t waste your time – keep track of how NFP affects the US dollar and profit!
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