2021-08-19 • Updated
Daily Chart
The US Dollar soared higher since the beginning of the Asian session until this report is released. Such rally comes as a reason of the Asian and the European markets to the Federal Reserve meeting minutes, which showed that the Fed is somehow preparing the markets for QE tapering before the end of this year, which could actually happen in December's meeting.
However, the Fed also stressed that they are still watching Covid19-Delta developments in the US, as infection rate is still increasing, and if things for even worse, the fed might delay such decision. Yet, the market is not concerned about delta yet, they are now concerned about lower liquidity by the Fed and other central banks, and therefore we are seeing a broad selloff across the board.
In the meantime, I would stand aside and watch how the US market will react today, as the current move might be a bit excessive, as the info that we got from the meeting minutes is not something new. But such move, could be a new opportunity for those who likes swing trades.
As for today, I will be watching 93.50 resistance area as it won't be easy to be broken. Another downside retracement is highly possible, which may retest the 93.0 support area, before the upside trend resumes.
| S3 | S2 | S1 | Pivot | R1 | R2 | R3 |
| 91.86 | 92.41 | 92.77 | 92.97 | 93.33 | 93.52 | 94.04 |
Crude oil futures surged on Monday due to disruptions in Russian refining capacity caused by Ukrainian drone strikes and Moscow's decision to cut output to comply with OPEC+ targets. The West Texas Intermediate (WTI) contract for May settled at $81.95 a barrel, up $1.32, while the Brent contract for May settled at $86.57 a barrel, also up $1.32. Russia instructed...
Bearish scenario: Sales below 80.00 with TP1: 79.60... Anticipated bullish scenario: Intraday purchases above 80.70 with TP: 81.50...
Brent oil is currently on a bullish trend, facing resistance near $84 and supported by the 200-day EMA. Breaking above this level could lead to a climb towards $90. Short-term support is observed around $80, backed by the 50-day EMA. As summer approaches and travel increases, crude oil tends to benefit from seasonal patterns. Despite temporary setbacks, buying...
Jerome H. Powell, the Federal Reserve chair, stated that the central bank can afford to be patient in deciding when to cut interest rates, citing easing inflation and stable economic growth. Powell emphasized the Fed's independence from political influences, particularly relevant as the election season nears. The Fed had raised interest rates to 5.3 ...
Hello again my friends, it’s time for another episode of “What to Trade,” this time, for the month of April. As usual, I present to you some of my most anticipated trade ideas for the month of April, according to my technical analysis style. I therefore encourage you to do your due diligence, as always, and manage your risks appropriately.
Bearish scenario: Sell below 1.0820 / 1.0841... Bullish scenario: Buy above 1.0827...
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Don’t waste your time – keep track of how NFP affects the US dollar and profit!
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