2021-08-19 • Updated
Daily Chart
The US Dollar soared higher since the beginning of the Asian session until this report is released. Such rally comes as a reason of the Asian and the European markets to the Federal Reserve meeting minutes, which showed that the Fed is somehow preparing the markets for QE tapering before the end of this year, which could actually happen in December's meeting.
However, the Fed also stressed that they are still watching Covid19-Delta developments in the US, as infection rate is still increasing, and if things for even worse, the fed might delay such decision. Yet, the market is not concerned about delta yet, they are now concerned about lower liquidity by the Fed and other central banks, and therefore we are seeing a broad selloff across the board.
In the meantime, I would stand aside and watch how the US market will react today, as the current move might be a bit excessive, as the info that we got from the meeting minutes is not something new. But such move, could be a new opportunity for those who likes swing trades.
As for today, I will be watching 93.50 resistance area as it won't be easy to be broken. Another downside retracement is highly possible, which may retest the 93.0 support area, before the upside trend resumes.
| S3 | S2 | S1 | Pivot | R1 | R2 | R3 |
| 91.86 | 92.41 | 92.77 | 92.97 | 93.33 | 93.52 | 94.04 |
China has issued new oil product export quotas to allow oil companies to send surplus barrels overseas, particularly Sinopec, which has the highest volume among quota holders. While the exact quota volume remains undisclosed, oil companies are forecasted to export approximately 3.5 million metric tons of clean oil products in September, a 10% increase from August.
Thanks to the incredible advancements in horizontal drilling and fracking technology, the United States has experienced a mind-blowing shale revolution. They've become the heavyweight champion of crude oil production, leaving Saudi Arabia and Russia in the dust. They even turned the tables and became net exporters of refined petroleum products in 2011.
Oil prices rebounded slightly on Friday but are still expected to show losses for the week due to concerns about slowing growth in the US and China. US crude futures rose 2.7% to $70.41 per barrel, while the Brent contract increased by 2.5% to $74.33 per barrel.
The past several weeks have been a real triumph for the bulls in the oil market. The Brent spot price grew by 8.5% during the last month.
Gold prices are rising for three consecutive days ahead of the Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate decision, which is expected to remain unchanged due to declining inflation and a positive economic outlook. Investors are keen on the Fed's interest rate guidance, fearing a hawkish stance that could trigger market risk aversion.
Amid concerns of a Chinese economic slowdown, reports of declining investment often overlook China's efficient investment strategy in emerging sectors for long-term growth. China has taken measures to stabilize foreign and private sector investments, like reducing the reserve requirement ratio to boost investor confidence.
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Don’t waste your time – keep track of how NFP affects the US dollar and profit!
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