2021-03-19 • Updated
The Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey (CBRT) raised its cash rate, surprising investors. It was a necessary action for Turkey to meet the bank's target of lowering inflation to 9.4% by year-end to approach the longer-term target of 5% in 2023.
"It is crucial that the lira offers a sufficiently attractive carry trade to appreciate in the coming months, or at the bare minimum to be relatively stable against the dollar," says Rabobank.
USD/TRY plunged as the Turkish lira rose against the US dollar after the Turkish bank’s decision. In fact, the TRY was one of the few currencies, that have managed to strengthen against the greenback on an intraday basis.
USD/TRY dropped to the 200-period moving average at 7.2400, which also lies on the lower line of Bollinger Bands. The RSI indicator went below the 30.00 level, indicating the pair is oversold. Thus, the pullback should happen soon. The move above yesterday’s high of 7.3500 will drive the pair to the 100-period moving average of 7.4500. Just in case, support levels are 7.2400 and 7.1400.
Crude oil futures surged on Monday due to disruptions in Russian refining capacity caused by Ukrainian drone strikes and Moscow's decision to cut output to comply with OPEC+ targets. The West Texas Intermediate (WTI) contract for May settled at $81.95 a barrel, up $1.32, while the Brent contract for May settled at $86.57 a barrel, also up $1.32. Russia instructed...
Bearish scenario: Sales below 80.00 with TP1: 79.60... Anticipated bullish scenario: Intraday purchases above 80.70 with TP: 81.50...
Brent oil is currently on a bullish trend, facing resistance near $84 and supported by the 200-day EMA. Breaking above this level could lead to a climb towards $90. Short-term support is observed around $80, backed by the 50-day EMA. As summer approaches and travel increases, crude oil tends to benefit from seasonal patterns. Despite temporary setbacks, buying...
Jerome H. Powell, the Federal Reserve chair, stated that the central bank can afford to be patient in deciding when to cut interest rates, citing easing inflation and stable economic growth. Powell emphasized the Fed's independence from political influences, particularly relevant as the election season nears. The Fed had raised interest rates to 5.3 ...
Hello again my friends, it’s time for another episode of “What to Trade,” this time, for the month of April. As usual, I present to you some of my most anticipated trade ideas for the month of April, according to my technical analysis style. I therefore encourage you to do your due diligence, as always, and manage your risks appropriately.
Bearish scenario: Sell below 1.0820 / 1.0841... Bullish scenario: Buy above 1.0827...
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