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USD/TRY surged to record high
2020-09-17 • Updated
USD/TRY continues moving upwards after breaking the all-time high of 7.50. Does it have more room to keep rallying? Let’s find out.
The credit rating agency Moody downgraded Turkey’s debt rating to junk. Besides, Moody gave a considerably negative prognosis on the Turkish lira itself and cautioned about the risk of crisis in the country’s balance of payments, which in turn will negatively impact the currency.
However, it’s not all about Turkey in this case as most emerging currencies are loosening this time against the US dollar amid the overall risk-off sentiment on the market. The market sentiment deteriorated after the Fed’s comment on the uncertain economic recovery ahead. As a result, safe-haven currencies such as the US dollar and the Japanese yen were pushed to the upside, while riskier assets were pressed down.
Nevertheless, the Minister of Trade for Turkey, emphasized that Turkey’s economy managed to outrun its peers amid the global pandemic in terms of exports. The Turkish output turned out $12.4 billion in August despite problems with international trade such as difficulties with logistics, border crossing and reduced demand. Anyway, the pair will mainly be driven by the USD’s performance and the overall market sentiment.
USD/TRY has been stuck between two trendlines since the beginning of August. Today, it has finally broken down the upper trendline and surged to the fresh highs above7.50. The move above the next round number at 7.55 will drive the pair to the key psychological mark of 7.60. In the opposite scenario, if it falls below yesterday’s low of 7.48, the way towards the support of 7.45 will be clear.
GBP/USD has bounced off the key support of 1.30 and turned to the upside. The pound is widely anticipated to rally further amid rising hopes for the end of Brexit talks this weekend on Halloween.
The USD is trading at its 7-week low, and it looks like it will continue falling further. Why?
Gold is trading sideways around the $1 900 level, but Biden’s victory will drive it upwards.
U.S. stock markets are set to open with a modest bounce after their worst day in over a month on Monday.
Asian equity markets resumed the weak performance seen across global peers which culminated in Wall St’s worst day in over a month