Oil prices rebounded slightly on Friday but are still expected to show losses for the week due to concerns about slowing growth in the US and China. US crude futures rose 2.7% to $70.41 per barrel, while the Brent contract increased by 2.5% to $74.33 per barrel.
USD/ZAR: bears are strong
2020-11-27 • Updated
The Fed is pushing investors to emerging markets. The lower rates for longer implies the falling yields for the US dollar. Elsewhere, the Covid-19 pandemic is getting out of control in the world’s largest economy, which drives traders away from the US dollar. Moreover, the optimistic outlook for soon widespread vaccinations and economic growth in 2021 increased the demand for riskier assets. As a result, the African rand gained.
CIBC Capital Markets forecasts the continuation of the downtrend for the US dollar and the uptrend for the emerging market currencies. CIBC anticipates USD/ZAR will end 2020 at around 15.15, and 2021 at 14.95.
Let’s look at the daily USD/ZAR chart. The pair is trading in the downtrend as we can observe lower lows and moving averages in descending order. If the pair manages to break through the key support of 15.0000, the way down to the six-month low of 14.7350 will be clear. In the opposite scenario, the move above the high of November 18 at 15.4500 will push the pair further up to the high of November 12 at 15.6500.
China's economy is rocketing. On the other hand OPEC+ countries take the decision to cut the production. What will be the impact on the oil price?
The past two years have seen the biggest swings in oil prices in 14 years, which have baffled markets, investors, and traders due to geopolitical tensions and the shift towards clean energy.
Let's dive into the latest developments shaping the global economic landscape. Good news first: the threat of an unprecedented US debt crisis has receded, as US lawmakers passed a bill to raise the debt ceiling and avoid a catastrophic default. Phew! But don't pop the champagne just yet, because storm clouds are still looming. High inflation, rising interest rates, and sluggish growth are challenges that have yet to disappear.
Thanks to the incredible advancements in horizontal drilling and fracking technology, the United States has experienced a mind-blowing shale revolution. They've become the heavyweight champion of crude oil production, leaving Saudi Arabia and Russia in the dust. They even turned the tables and became net exporters of refined petroleum products in 2011.
Let's dive into the world of gold. Currently, the price of gold, represented by XAUUSD, is stuck in indecision, hovering around the $1,975 mark. The market is anxiously awaiting two important factors: the release of the Federal Reserve's meeting minutes and the extension of the US debt ceiling.