ONLINE FOREX BROKER
2021-08-19 • Updated
The fresh resurgence of Covid-19 cases and Fed’s Meeting Minutes drove USD/ZAR above the psychological mark of 15.00. It has failed to break above the 15.25 resistance level so far. However, if it manages to do so, the pair may rocket to the next round number of 15.50, which is near the high of March 8.
Rand bulls were encouraged by the retail sales data for June as actual numbers (10.4%) exceeded market expectations of 9.6%. However, it is not so significant factor for the USD/ZAR currency pair. The main driver is the upcoming Fed meeting. Even market expectations of this event are affecting the US dollar and thus USD/ZAR.
On August 18, the Fed has revealed Meeting Minutes – a detailed record of its latest event. After watching it, investors have become more confident that the Fed may start slowing down its financial support (tightening the policy) already this year! It is expected that tapering will likely take place between September 2021 – December 2021. It is positive news for the US dollar.
USD/ZAR may move sideways between 15.00 and 15.25 for a while as the RSI indicator is close to 70.00, signaling the asset is overbought. Thus, we might expect a pullback to 15.00 and then reverse up again. However, the current strength of the US dollar makes the breakout above 15.25 very likely!
Oil prices rebounded slightly on Friday but are still expected to show losses for the week due to concerns about slowing growth in the US and China. US crude futures rose 2.7% to $70.41 per barrel, while the Brent contract increased by 2.5% to $74.33 per barrel.
China's economy is rocketing. On the other hand OPEC+ countries take the decision to cut the production. What will be the impact on the oil price?
The past two years have seen the biggest swings in oil prices in 14 years, which have baffled markets, investors, and traders due to geopolitical tensions and the shift towards clean energy.
Let's dive into the latest developments shaping the global economic landscape. Good news first: the threat of an unprecedented US debt crisis has receded, as US lawmakers passed a bill to raise the debt ceiling and avoid a catastrophic default. Phew! But don't pop the champagne just yet, because storm clouds are still looming. High inflation, rising interest rates, and sluggish growth are challenges that have yet to disappear.
Thanks to the incredible advancements in horizontal drilling and fracking technology, the United States has experienced a mind-blowing shale revolution. They've become the heavyweight champion of crude oil production, leaving Saudi Arabia and Russia in the dust. They even turned the tables and became net exporters of refined petroleum products in 2011.
Let's dive into the world of gold. Currently, the price of gold, represented by XAUUSD, is stuck in indecision, hovering around the $1,975 mark. The market is anxiously awaiting two important factors: the release of the Federal Reserve's meeting minutes and the extension of the US debt ceiling.
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