Last week I gave a trade idea on XAUUSD with a target around the $2,020 price line. At the time of writing, XAUUSD already exceeded the target and I’m sure that would leave a lot of people wondering what to expect next. Below, I have presented my view of how I expect the price action to turn out in the meantime.
USD/ZAR turned up
2019-11-11 • Updated
BUY 14.50; TP 14.65; SL 14.45
USD/ZAR rebounded from the 200-day MA at 14.18, went up through the 100- and 50-day MAs and formed an “inverted Head and Shoulders” pattern. The bullish pattern will remain in place as long as the pair’s above the neckline at 14.35. The cue to buy will come once the price gets above the 50% Fibo retracement of the June-July decline at 14.49. The first target will be at the next Fibo level at 14.65. Retracements to 14.35 should also attract buyers.
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Bearish Scenario: Selling below 22.65 with TP1: 22.34 (intraday) and TP2: 22.02 (swing). Bullish Scenario: Buying above 22.70 with TP1: 22.90.
Intraday and swing scenarios based on price action and volume profile.