Last Friday’s NFP was disappointing. The reaction of the markets was astonishing. Will it last longer? Let's find out the main trade opportunities for the upcoming week.
What is the chance that the RBA will change interest rates?
2019-11-11 • Updated
On Tuesday, February 6 at 5:30 MT time, the Reserve Bank of Australia will announce interest rates for the first time this year after the break in January. Experts do not expect any changes this time. If we look at statistics, the RBA had not changed interest rates since September 2016.
Despite the fact that the economic growth of Australia is firm and the labor market has improved, inflation data does not give reasons to the RBA to change the interest rates. In the fourth quarter CPI rose less than anticipated by 0.1 percentage points and still it is lower than RBA’s 2-3% target.
The Australian dollar is quite volatile now. On the daily chart AUD/USD, we can see that moving inside the upward trend, Aussie achieved its highest point at 0.8135 since May 2015. After that, it started falling, when received the support at 38.2 Fibonacci retracements and changed its direction again. Although the RBA is not going to raise the interest rates this time, experts expect upbeat comments. It supports the Aussie.
Traders should take into account that Aussie will be volatile on Tuesday because several important figures will be announced. Retail sales and trade balance will be published before interest rates at 2:30 MT time.
Also, on Friday, February 9 at 2:30 MT time, the RBA will give a more detailed economic outlook, delivering Monetary Policy Statement.
Making a conclusion, we can say that although the RBA had not been changing interest rates for a long time, and is not anticipated to do it tomorrow, analysts expect it this year for sure. The growth of the economy and inflation that is supported by the labor market and rising demand for commodities can lead to the increase of interest rates.
After multiple hawkish remarks over the past few days from non-voters members, the Federal Reserve chairman Powell surprised the markets with some dovish remarks…
Institutional investors speak about further growth in the stock market. In the exact market that has doubled since COVID-19 and doesn’t plan to stop. Is it possible?
The stock market has reversed, and now it’s going lower and lower…
Walmart is one of the biggest retail corporations in the US, with $244 billion in total assets. Does it worth buying amid rising prices and supply concerns that shatter the world economy?
Japan's inflation is set to reach 2% in April's reading, for the first time since 2015. But what about the weaker Yen?!