The Bank of England (BoE) has dramatically shifted its economic forecasts. They no longer expect a recession in the UK and have upgraded their growth projections. This year, the BoE predicts GDP growth of +0.25%, a significant improvement from previous expectations. Next year's forecast is even more optimistic, with a projected growth of 0.75%.
What to Trade on June 6-10?
2022-12-15 • Updated
Last week was full of economic events, from the Canadian bank rate and OPEC meeting to US Non-farm employment change. The US Fed is speeding up its monetary tightening, and crypto may experience the most challenging times since the beginning of the market. Commodities are in danger, too. Dive deeper into the most important events of next week!
The ECB will meet on the main refinancing rate (interest rate) on Thursday, 14:45 GMT+3. The six members of the ECB Executive Board and 15 of the 19 governors of the Euro area central banks vote on where to set the rate. Despite the common knowledge that the rate will remain unchanged, ECB will hold a press conference after the monetary policy statement. We will look at plans to fight inflation in the EU. EURUSD will gain volatility and may break through the vital resistance area of 1.0760-1.0800. In case of a breakout, the next resistance for the pair will be at 1.1030.
Oil & Gold
EU leaders had agreed to ban 90% of Russian crude by the end of the year as part of the bloc’s sixth sanctions package on Russia since it invaded Ukraine. Later, Saudi Arabia reported it could step up if Russian output dips under sanctions. Oil didn’t have enough momentum to exit the three-month consolidation with borders at $90-120 per barrel. Still, the outlook for XBRUSD is bullish due to difficulties in switching from Russian imports.
Gold oscillates near the vital support area of $1790-1800. The slide below will mean the bull market for XAUUSD is postponed for several months, and the USD may strengthen simultaneously. However, the greenback prospects are gloomy amid inflation that doesn't slow down fast enough.
Take a closer look at the HK50 index. The Chinese economy is recovering from lockdowns and supply disruptions so we can expect some bullish movements in the nearest time. Step by step, the country takes control over microchip production as the settlements with Taiwan suppliers are now partly managed by China. Also, HK50 is close to the strong resistance trendline, which is the final threshold on the way to the uptrend.
On Wednesday, the US dollar weakened in anticipation of the US CPI data, which could influence market exposure. A Bloomberg survey predicts a year-on-year read of 5.0% to the end of April. Market sentiment is affected by the US debt ceiling and issues with regional banks. While the major APAC equity indices are...
Gold prices have stabilized at around $2,020 ahead of Tuesday's trading session, following last Friday's dip. Recent fluctuations in risk sentiment have been the driving force behind the pricing of the precious metal. How does this look on the charts? Let’s find out.
Let's dive into the latest developments shaping the global economic landscape. Good news first: the threat of an unprecedented US debt crisis has receded, as US lawmakers passed a bill to raise the debt ceiling and avoid a catastrophic default. Phew! But don't pop the champagne just yet, because storm clouds are still looming. High inflation, rising interest rates, and sluggish growth are challenges that have yet to disappear.
Thanks to the incredible advancements in horizontal drilling and fracking technology, the United States has experienced a mind-blowing shale revolution. They've become the heavyweight champion of crude oil production, leaving Saudi Arabia and Russia in the dust. They even turned the tables and became net exporters of refined petroleum products in 2011.
Let's dive into the world of gold. Currently, the price of gold, represented by XAUUSD, is stuck in indecision, hovering around the $1,975 mark. The market is anxiously awaiting two important factors: the release of the Federal Reserve's meeting minutes and the extension of the US debt ceiling.