As you must already know, the direction of Gold is mainly dependent on the Price action of DXY (US Dollar index). So first, we take a look at the US Dollar index.
What To Trade On May 23 - 27?
2022-12-15 • Updated
Last week blew traders' minds!
The US dollar dropped for the first time in seven weeks after Jerome Powell's speech on Tuesday. As a result, EURUSD increased to 1.0600, and USDJPY plunged to 128. Stock indices found support levels. Chinese Hang Seng rose for the second week in a row. US500 and US100 plunged at the beginning of the previous week but reversed on Thursday. The critical support levels for US500 and US100 are 3850 and 11 700, respectively. The oil market keeps trading sideways as European Union tries to approve the Russian oil embargo. The crypto market followed the US stock indices. As a result, Bitcoin decreased to the local support of $27 000, and it looks like buyers will hold the asset above this level for a while.
On Monday, the head of the Bank of England will participate in a panel discussion regarding the monetary policy's future. More hawkish than expected statements might boost GBPUSD to 1.2800. Otherwise, the pair might decline below 1.2350 once again. On Tuesday, the German flash manufacturing PMI will shake the euro. Better-than-expected data might push EURUSD to 1.0700.
On the other hand, if the actual result is lower than the expectations, the pair might plunge to 1.0350. The period from Wednesday to Friday will be intense for the US dollar. On Wednesday, the FOMC will present the meeting minutes. On Thursday, the prelim GDP will be posted. On Friday, the bureau of economic analysis will publish the core PCE price index. The US dollar index plunged at the end of the previous week with a strong impulse. The trend might continue if the US economic data signals an upcoming recovery.
Next week, Nvidia and Alibaba will post earnings reports.
Nvidia's price lost 50% of its high in January 2022. Better-than-expected report might push the stock to the $200 resistance. On the other hand, in case of a worse-than-expected release, the price might fall to $150.
Alibaba has found its global support, and the price is ready for the massive uptrend. The upcoming report might confirm investors' opinions about the Chinese market recovery.
Oil, gas & metals
XBRUSD has been testing the $112.50 resistance for the past three weeks. As soon as the breakout happens, the price will head towards $118.00. At the same time, XTI is moving towards $120. XAUUSD broke through the upper border of the descending channel. As soon as the price breaks through $1850, it will head towards $1870 and $1900. XAGUSD bounced off the global support of $20.50. If the price breaks through $22.50, it will head towards $24.30.
On January 12, the Bureau of Statistics will publish the Consumer Price Index (CPI) figures, a key index for determining interest rates. While we await the release, experts forecast a decline in the CPI data, a hint at weaker Dollar values in the global markets.
Later today Tiff Macklem, the governor of the BoC (Bank of Canada) is expected to speak at the Riksbank's International Symposium as part of a discussion panel on 'Central Bank Independence'.
Last year was tough for the Japanese yen. USDJPY gained more than 30% over 2022, striking above 150 in October. While anticipation of slower Fed rate hikes pulled the pair below the 130 level at the start of 2023, the speculations over the destiny of BOJ’s yield control policy grabbed the attention of the Japanese assets in the middle of January. What lies ahead for traders of the Japanese yen?
Today, at 5:00 pm (GMT +2), the Bank of Canada will publish the Overnight Rate, which represents short-term interest rates, and is pivotal to the overall pricing of the Canadian Dollar in the global markets. Let's look at how the markets are faring ahead of the BoC rates release.
In a call scheduled for January 25, 00:30 am GMT+2, Microsoft will publish the company's earnings for the final quarter of 2022 and comment on the results, projections, and outlook for the nearest future of the company.