Touros do petróleo WTI de olho em US$ 83.00
A preocupação com a oferta global mais restrita provocada pela escalada do conflito no Médio Oriente poderá impulsionar os preços do petróleo neste início de semana
Why the dollar fell so low?
2019-11-11 • Atualizado
We are seeing the fall of the US dollar since the end of December 2017, but US Treasury secretaries preferred to say little about it until this Wednesday.
The US made the biggest fall since December 2014 when the Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin claimed on Wednesday that “a weaker dollar is good for us as it relates to trade”. The Secretary made his comment in Davos, Switzerland during the World Economic Forum, where a lot of people are waiting for the Donald Trump’s address.
What did he really say? Mnuchin said that a cheaper dollar increases export demand. And he is right. Mnuchin claimed that the US wants fair economic competition and reciprocal trade. Tax cuts make the US more attractive for investments. He believes that where the dollar is in short-term reflects a very liquid market, but the long-term level will support the strength of the economy.
However, despite positive comments about the US policy, the market reacted to the confirmation of dollar weakness and the dollar fell losing 0.8% against the Euro.
But we cannot say that Mnuchin’s words were crucial for the USD. We should not forget that overseas economic growth and shifting perceptions of monetary policy have been causing the dollar weakness as well. So the fall was expected but maybe not at such rate.
Summing up the Secretary’s statement, we can suppose that the US will not act to strengthen the dollar now. However, it is important to remember that depreciation adds pressure on inflation. So the Fed will have to take it under control. But if inflation rises, the Fed will have to tighten its monetary policy and it will change the US dollar rate.
Semelhante
Incertezas no Oriente Médio fazem os preços do petróleo subirem
O cumprimento dos cortes de produção da OPEP+ aumentou, com as exportações a caírem cerca de 900.000 barris em fevereiro, o nível mais baixo desde agosto/23
Investidores de olho nos PMIs da EU e dos EUA
Na ocasião, os mercados estarão analisando esses dados (principalmente nos EUA) e ver se superaram as expectativas ou contraíram ainda mais
Últimas notícias
Ofertas de Empregos Jots no radar dos touros do dólar
Depois da queda no mês de março em cerca de 26 mil vagas de emprego, a expectativa do mercado é de nova queda para 8,790M para o mês de fevereiro do mesmo ano
Investidores de olho no PMI Industrial do ISM
Nesta segunda-feira, primeiro dia do mês de abril, os EUA liberam os números dos PMIs da S&P Global e do ISM para a indústria
As expectativas dos mercados giram em torno do PCE dos EUA
Todas as atenções estarão nos preços básicos do PCE (núcleo) dos EUA, que excluem alimentos e energia para o mês de março, com a expectativa de que os números venham abaixo do mês anterior, que registraram um aumento de 0,4%
