2020-10-30 • Updated
S&P dropped to the one-month low amid the overall risk-off market sentiment. Indeed, everything is mixed up: rising new virus cases, the delay in the US stimulus package, no signs of soft Brexit, and the election uncertainty.
Hopes for the better-than-expected earnings reports of the four tech giants, Apple, Amazon, Facebook, and Google drove the stock index higher yesterday, but a 16% decline in iPhone sales pushed it deep down.
The risk-averse sentiment is likely to prevail during Friday, but perhaps US economic figures will change it. Follow US Personal Spending at 14:30 MT time, Chicago PMI at 15:00 MT time, and Revised Consumer Sentiment at 16:00 MT time!
The S&P 500 has moved below the lower trendline of the Bollinger Bands indicator on the daily chart, that’s why we can assume it should reverse now from the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level of 3 270. The move above the 100-day moving average of 3 307 will drive the stock index to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of 3 330. On the flip side, if it manages to break the support of 3 270, it may drop to the low of September 23 at 3 230.
China has issued new oil product export quotas to allow oil companies to send surplus barrels overseas, particularly Sinopec, which has the highest volume among quota holders. While the exact quota volume remains undisclosed, oil companies are forecasted to export approximately 3.5 million metric tons of clean oil products in September, a 10% increase from August.
Thanks to the incredible advancements in horizontal drilling and fracking technology, the United States has experienced a mind-blowing shale revolution. They've become the heavyweight champion of crude oil production, leaving Saudi Arabia and Russia in the dust. They even turned the tables and became net exporters of refined petroleum products in 2011.
Oil prices rebounded slightly on Friday but are still expected to show losses for the week due to concerns about slowing growth in the US and China. US crude futures rose 2.7% to $70.41 per barrel, while the Brent contract increased by 2.5% to $74.33 per barrel.
The past several weeks have been a real triumph for the bulls in the oil market. The Brent spot price grew by 8.5% during the last month.
Gold prices are rising for three consecutive days ahead of the Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate decision, which is expected to remain unchanged due to declining inflation and a positive economic outlook. Investors are keen on the Fed's interest rate guidance, fearing a hawkish stance that could trigger market risk aversion.
Amid concerns of a Chinese economic slowdown, reports of declining investment often overlook China's efficient investment strategy in emerging sectors for long-term growth. China has taken measures to stabilize foreign and private sector investments, like reducing the reserve requirement ratio to boost investor confidence.
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