2024-02-21 • Actualizada
Brent oil is currently on a bullish trend, facing resistance near $84 and supported by the 200-day EMA. Breaking above this level could lead to a climb towards $90. Short-term support is observed around $80, backed by the 50-day EMA. As summer approaches and travel increases, crude oil tends to benefit from seasonal patterns. Despite temporary setbacks, buying opportunities are anticipated in a market with declining supply. Traders are also watching for potential economic stimulus from central bank rate cuts, which could lift commodity prices, especially oil. While the oil market is a key indicator of global economic health, its volatility remains a challenge. Overall, there's a bullish sentiment, albeit with lingering challenges.
Brent (XBRUSD) on the daily timeframe has just been rejected off the rally-base-drop supply zone, which is in alignment with the trendline resistance, and the bearish array of the moving averages, as well as the 100-day moving average resistance. In light of these confluences, I will be expecting a continuation of the bearish movement with a target at the confluence of the 50-day moving average and the trendline support.
Analyst’s Expectations:
Direction: Bearish
Target: $79.13
Invalidation: $83.60
XTIUSD (USOIL) has recently reacted to the bearish pressure from the rally-base-drop supply zone around the 88% Fibonacci retracement level. In light of this, I perceive that price could slide further down till it reaches the trendline support, before we get to see a possible continuation of the bullish pressure.
Analyst’s Expectations:
Direction: Bearish
Target: $73.83
Invalidation: $79.65
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Escenario bajista: Ventas por debajo de 80.00 con TP1:79.60... Escenario alcista anticipado: Compras intradía sobre 80.70 con TP: 81.50...
Escenario Bajista: Ventas por debajo de 78.99 con TP1:77.93, TP2: 77.45 y tras su rompimiento TP3:76.56 y TP4: 75.70. Escenario Alcista: Compras sobre 78.00(esperar pullback a esta zona) con TP1: 1679.00 (POC descubierto*), TP2: 79.33 y TP3: 79.66 en intradía.
Escenario bajista: Ventas por debajo de 80.00 con TP1:79.34, TP2: 78.94,TP3: 78.55 y 78.00 Escenario alcista: Compras sobre 78.00 (esperar retroceso hacia zona) con TP:79.34 TP2:80.00 y TP3: 81.00
Escenario bajista: Ventas por debajo de 1.0820 / 1.0841... Escenario alcista: Compras sobre 1.0827...
Escenario bajista: Ventas por debajo de 2200 / 2194... Escenario alcista más próximo: Compras sobre 2197... Escenario alcista tras retroceso: Considera compras en torno a cada zona de demanda...
Escenario bajista: Ventas por debajo de 5220 ... Escenario alcista: Compras sobre 5225 (Si el precio falla en romper por debajo con decisión)
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