As you must already know, the direction of Gold is mainly dependent on the Price action of DXY (US Dollar index). So first, we take a look at the US Dollar index.
XAU/USD: Gold has come to the Rubicon
2019-11-11 • Updated
SELL 1282 SL 1297 TP1 1252 TP2 1244 TP3 1215
BUY 1308 SL 1293 TP1 1325 TP2 1335 TP2 1349
On the daily chart of XAU/USD, the 1,282-1,308 consolidation continues. A break of its upper boundary will increase odds of a correction to 50% and 61.8% of the 4-5 wave of the “Broadening wedge” pattern. Conversely, a break of the support at 1,282 will let bears pull the pair down.
On H1, if the “Broadening wedge” pattern is implemented, the pair will reach the 200% target of the AB=CD. Vice versa, if the “Crab” pattern is implemented, the pair will reach its 161.8% target.
On January 12, the Bureau of Statistics will publish the Consumer Price Index (CPI) figures, a key index for determining interest rates. While we await the release, experts forecast a decline in the CPI data, a hint at weaker Dollar values in the global markets.
Later today Tiff Macklem, the governor of the BoC (Bank of Canada) is expected to speak at the Riksbank's International Symposium as part of a discussion panel on 'Central Bank Independence'.
Western countries are trying to find other options for oil and gas supplies after a 10th package of sanctions, which will put more pressure on Russian oil and decrease global oil supply. Italy, for example, is in talks with Libya.
Last year was tough for the Japanese yen. USDJPY gained more than 30% over 2022, striking above 150 in October. While anticipation of slower Fed rate hikes pulled the pair below the 130 level at the start of 2023, the speculations over the destiny of BOJ’s yield control policy grabbed the attention of the Japanese assets in the middle of January. What lies ahead for traders of the Japanese yen?
Today, at 5:00 pm (GMT +2), the Bank of Canada will publish the Overnight Rate, which represents short-term interest rates, and is pivotal to the overall pricing of the Canadian Dollar in the global markets. Let's look at how the markets are faring ahead of the BoC rates release.