XAU/USD: gold may weaken

XAU/USD: gold may weaken

Trade idea

SELL 1,266; TP 1,256.55; SL 1,269

The technical necessity of a downturn was visible in XAU/USD for a long time. Yet, gold made an attempt to strengthen in May but was stopped by resistance just above $1,300. The price is now once again below this key level. Last week’s bearish candlestick on W1 has a long upper wick. This is a negative sign. Both weekly and daily Awesome Oscillators are declining.

The USD has been leading as a safe haven during the last several days, and this situation is likely to continue. Some risks/volatility in this scenario will be related to the publication of the FOMC meeting minutes on Wednesday. The USD will be fine and gold will decline if the minutes are not dovish (if the Fed's members really didn't consider a rate cut).

XAU/USD now has several support levels: 100-week MA at 1,277.25 (now above the price but not far), 1,275.50 (38.2% Fibo of the 2018-2019 advance), 1,266.15 (this year’s lows). It’s possible to trade between these support levels or on the break below the latter).  

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Similar

GBP/USD: levels to trade

GBP/USD has been consolidating between 1.30 and 1.2770 for the past month. The pair met resistance at the resistance line connecting October and November highs.

XAU/USD: an attempt to recover

After forming a “hammer” candlestick on the D1 on Tuesday, XAU/USD rose to $1,467 and consolidated between this level and $1,461.

Latest news

GBP/USD: levels to trade

GBP/USD has been consolidating between 1.30 and 1.2770 for the past month. The pair met resistance at the resistance line connecting October and November highs.

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