XAU/USD: gold may weaken

XAU/USD: gold may weaken

Trade idea

SELL 1,266; TP 1,256.55; SL 1,269

The technical necessity of a downturn was visible in XAU/USD for a long time. Yet, gold made an attempt to strengthen in May but was stopped by resistance just above $1,300. The price is now once again below this key level. Last week’s bearish candlestick on W1 has a long upper wick. This is a negative sign. Both weekly and daily Awesome Oscillators are declining.

The USD has been leading as a safe haven during the last several days, and this situation is likely to continue. Some risks/volatility in this scenario will be related to the publication of the FOMC meeting minutes on Wednesday. The USD will be fine and gold will decline if the minutes are not dovish (if the Fed's members really didn't consider a rate cut).

XAU/USD now has several support levels: 100-week MA at 1,277.25 (now above the price but not far), 1,275.50 (38.2% Fibo of the 2018-2019 advance), 1,266.15 (this year’s lows). It’s possible to trade between these support levels or on the break below the latter).  

XAUUSD.png

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USD/CHF may rise a bit

USD/CHF formed a “hammer” candlestick on the D1. The most recent price low wasn’t confirmed by the Awesome Oscillator on this timeframe.

NZD/CHF: earning on volatility

NZD/CHF fell this week as the Swiss franc appreciated versus other currencies. However, the positive market sentiment related to the US-China trade deal helped the pair to find support in the 0.6355 area.

Levels to trade AUD/JPY

AUD/JPY has been recovering from the 74.00 area since the start of January, but met resistance in the 76.00 area.

Latest news

USD/CHF may rise a bit

USD/CHF formed a “hammer” candlestick on the D1. The most recent price low wasn’t confirmed by the Awesome Oscillator on this timeframe.

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