Daily Market Analysis

In-depth technical & fundamental analysis for currencies & commodities

Will the UK CPI send GBP Higher?
Will the UK CPI send GBP Higher?

According to EY, profit warnings among UK-listed companies have reached levels last seen during the financial crisis, excluding the pandemic. More than one in six firms issued profit warnings in the past year due to rising borrowing costs and tightened consumer spending, impacting their margins. Insolvencies in June were 27% higher than the previous year and above pre-pandemic levels, with consumer industries like retail and hospitality being hit the hardest.

JPY starts the week with decline
JPY starts the week with decline

According to Japanese Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki, there was "no discussion" about exchange rates during the recent meeting of Group of Seven (G7) finance ministers and central bank chiefs in India. This news comes as the yen weakened to around ¥145 per dollar last month, prompting concerns that the Japanese government may intervene in the currency market to support the yen.

CPI release will decide the next FOMC step
CPI release will decide the next FOMC step

Today's focus is on the US CPI data, which experts believe will be better than expected. The forecasted US CPI m/m is 0.3%, and y/y is 3.1%, a positive sign for the market as the Fed's inflation target is 2%. Even a strong inflation reading may lead to one more interest rate hike, keeping traders somewhat worried. The reaction of the 2-year Treasury yield and the dollar index will indicate the Fed's next move. With inflation slowing down, the path of least resistance for the US equity market is skewed to the upside.

How will NFP affect the markets? 
How will NFP affect the markets? 

Here’s the scoop: Businesses employ various strategies to soften economic conditions before resorting to mass layoffs. These measures include reducing job postings, hiring less, cutting temporary help, and reducing hours worked. Average weekly hours have decreased, potentially indicating a return to normal or a slackening labor market depending on future trends.

Stocks to trade in July
Stocks to trade in July

When I started trading stocks a few years ago, I often needed to pay more attention to my technical analysis skills and trust that the market would play fair according to my analysis. I have since discovered that the safer approach to trading stocks is to, more often than not, seek out investing opportunities - that is, catching stock commodities with a potential to rise.

Can oil reverse after OPEC+ meeting?
Can oil reverse after OPEC+ meeting?

Saudi Arabia and Russia, two of the world's largest oil producers, have decided to extend cuts to their oil production to support oil prices and boost income. This move comes despite weakened demand due to the sluggish economy.

What To Trade In July
What To Trade In July

July is right around the corner, and it heralds the start of the year's second half. In this article, I hope to share with you, my dear readers, a few of my trade ideas for July in hopes that it fetches you all some sizable profits and makes your July fun and fruitful. Let’s go!

Is the Crypto Season Back Now?
Is the Crypto Season Back Now?

Exciting news from Mastercard: they are launching a Multi-Token Network (MTN) to explore the potential of tokenized bank deposits, stablecoins, and central bank digital currencies (CBDCs). The MTN will begin with testing tokenized bank deposits and will be available in beta mode this summer in the UK. They have invited banks and financial institutions to participate in the initiative.

GOLD: US Dollar Hits Supply Zone, What Next?
GOLD: US Dollar Hits Supply Zone, What Next?

Here's the latest news from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. While speaking at a conference in Portugal, Powell expressed optimism about the US economy and decreased the possibility of a recession, stating that the economy has shown resilience and is still growing, albeit at a modest pace. He acknowledged the possibility of a recession but emphasized that it is not the most likely scenario.

Gold Demand Drops As The US Dollar Recovers
Gold Demand Drops As The US Dollar Recovers

Here's the scoop on China's gold demand. According to Bloomberg, the country's economic slowdown is beginning to affect the sector, resulting in a cooling off of gold sales. While jewelry sales experienced rapid growth earlier this year, they only expanded by 24% in May, indicating a slowdown. China, alongside India, is a leading consumer of physical gold, including bars, jewelry, and coins

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