The United States will release the weekly Unemployment Claims on October 21, at 15:30 MT time (GMT+3).
5 important events this week will bring us!
- RBA rate statement (Tue, 5:30 MT time (3:30 GMT)) – The interest rate is expected to remain unchanged at 0.75%. Traders need to pay attention to the tone of the statement, as the regulator may provide hints on the possible changes to the interest rate in future. If the RBA forecasts a slash of the interest rate to the downside, the AUD will weaken.
- Canadian balance of trade (Wed, 15:30 MT time (13:30 GMT)) – According to the forecasts, the deficit of the balance will shorten to -0.7 billion CAD. Higher figures will boost the Canadian dollar.
- US balance of trade (Wed, 15:30 MT time (13:30 GMT)) – The deficit of trade for the United States is expected to get lower to -$49 billion. If the actual level is higher, the USD will rise.
- Canadian job data (Fri, 15:30 MT time (13:30 GMT)) – Analysts anticipate the unemployment rate to increase to 5.6%. Also, the employment change will be released, although the forecasts have not been announced yet. A higher-than-expected employment change and lower-than-expected unemployment rate will support the US dollar.
- American job data (Fri, 15:30 MT time (13:30 GMT)) – The US will release NFP alongside with average hourly earnings and unemployment rate. Experts anticipate the number of payrolls to advance by 180 thousand jobs, while average hourly earnings are expected to increase by 0.3% and the unemployment rate is forecast to remain at the same level of 3.6%.
- The improvement of the Chinese manufacturing PMI (51.8 vs. 51.5 expected) during the Asian trading session boosted the risk sentiment in the market and pushed the risk-weighted assets up.
- After the biggest Friday’s loss, the oil prices rebounded as Iraq announced deeper oil cuts ahead of the OPEC+ meeting on Thursday.
- A fresh report on the US-China trade deal expects US President Donald Trump to hold off the implementation of tariffs on December 15. At the same time, it does not expect the deal to be reached this year.
The Fed is ready to start tapering in November. Since the markets were expecting this and it wasn’t a surprise, the USD slumped allowing risk-on currencies and gold to rally up.
US Retail Sales will be out on October 15 at 15:30 MetaTrader time (GMT+3).
Last week was full of surprises! Stock indices have shown significant growth…
The US dollar is heading to close the seventh day in the red as it remains under selling pressure. The US data at 15:30 GMT+3 (jobless claims and Philly Fed Manufacturing Index) may support the greenback if it's strong.
Canada will publish the Retail Sales and Core Retail Sales on October 22, at 15:30 MT time (GMT+3).