PMI reports from the EU, the UK, and the USA will be released during the day!
5 important things this week will bring us!
- RBA rate statement (Tue, 5:30 MT (3:30 GMT) time) – The RBA Governor Philip Lowe is expected to leave the interest rate unchanged at 1.5%. However, the comments by him and the members of the Australian central bank may provide volatility to the Australian dollar.
- Australian GDP q/q (Wed, 2:30 MT (00:30 GMT) time) – According to analysts, the level of GDP growth for Australia will increase by 0.5%. Higher-than-expected figures will boost the Australian currency.
- BOC rate statement (Wed, 17:00 MT (15:00 GMT) time) – We anticipate no changes to the current level of interest rate (1.75%). The bank of Canada governor may throw some hints on the possible changes to the current monetary policy. If the BOC is hawkish, the Canadian dollar will rise.
- ECB rate statement and press conference (Thu, 14:45 and 15:30 MT (12:45 and 13:30 GMT) time) – Here we also do not expect changes to the current interest rate, but the ECB president Mario Draghi may comment on the further changes to the current monetary policy. If the European central bank is more confident in the current conditions, the euro will rise.
- US Non-farm employment change (NFP) (Fri, 15:30 MT (13:30 GMT) time) – Analysts forecast the level of NFP to increase by 185 thousand jobs. At the same time, the level of average hourly earnings is forecast to increase by 0.3% and the level of unemployment change is expected to decline to 3.9%. Higher figures for NFP and average hourly earnings and lower figures for unemployment rate will boost the USD.
- Pro-Brexiters in the Conservative party of Great Britain suggested several conditions for supporting Theresa May’s plan at the Parliament.
- Reportedly, China and the US are in the final stage of getting a trade deal. China offers to lower tariffs on American products and the US considers to remove sanctions against Chinese products.
- During the weekend Trump said that strong USD and rate hikes were hurting the economy.
Today traders await the European Central Bank to make a policy statement at 14:45 MT (GMT+3).
The European Central Bank will make its policy statement on July 22 at 14:45 MT (GMT+3).
This week Apple, Microsoft, Google, Facebook, Pfizer, and other large US companies will deliver earnings reports…
The overall market sentiment is risk-on. The S&P 500 index (US 500) is getting close to the all-time high. Oil is recovering quickly from its recent losses.
What will happen? The FOMC statement will be published at 21:00 MT (GMT+3) on Wednesday, July 28…