The US dollar index keeps rounding above the 103.60 historical support level. The buyers have already defended this level for three weeks, highlighting their interest in the greenback. Thus, buying USD looks less risky right now.
All traders await NFP
The NFP will be announced at 15:30 MT on January 10.
The last NFP release on December 6 provided very positive figures, bringing 266K added jobs to the economy, 3.5% unemployment rate, and 0.2% growth in average hourly earnings. The figures mostly surpassed market expectations and showed a significantly improved domestic picture for the US. Coupled with the positive news from the US-China trade talks, it led to a substantial rise of the USD. If the January 10 release referring to the industry performance in December brings another positive outcome, the USD will gain strength and provide a good market mood for the start of the year.
- If the NFP data is better than the market expectation, the USD will grow.
- If the NFP data is below market expectations, the USD will fall.
On the H4 timeframe, the US dollar index has formed a bullish falling wedge. At the beginning of the trading session, the price is testing the upper border of this wedge. Thus, in case of a higher-than-expected Core PCE Price Index m/m, the US dollar will skyrocket against other currencies.
Happy Wednesday, traders! We went through the Internet and found the best news for you, take a look!
This week may be the most important since the year started as the Fed assess the economic outlook and the US presents fresh NFP readings.
S&P Global, a private banking company, will release a monthly change in British Flash Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) on January 24, 11:30 GMT+2. The index is a leading indicator of economic health as businesses react quickly to market conditions, and purchasing managers hold the most current and relevant insight into the company's view of the economy.
The United States Bureau of Labor Statistics will publish the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) m/m on January 12 at 15:30 GMT+2. The index measures a change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers.