Riskier assets and gold ended last week with huge gains due to the weak US dollar’s performance. Let’s discuss what will drive the markets today.
American consumer spending reports the greatest gain since 2009
In March, American consumer spending went up by the most for over 9-1/2 years, although price pressures were still muted, with a major inflation gauge reporting its smallest annual yield for 14 months.
On Monday, the Commerce Department told that consumer spending, amounting to over two-thirds of American economic activity, rallied by 0.9% because households increased purchases of cars and also spent more on healthcare.
In February, consumer spending soared by up to 0.1%. January’s data was updated upwards to demonstrate consumer spending rallying by 0.3% instead of the previously posted 0.1% ascend.
The publication of the February spending data was postponed by a five-week shutdown of the US federal government, which concluded on January 25. Market experts had hoped consumer spending would rally by 0.7% last month.
When updated for inflation, consumer spending headed north by 0.75% in March, although in February it was intact.
The data came with last Friday's first-quarter GDP report. Moreover, March's rally in real consumer spending dropped a hint at an acceleration in consumption probably occurred in the second quarter. In the first quarter, consumers spending went up at a 1.2% annualized rate that appears to be the slowest outcome in 2019.
Last quarter, the American economy headed north by 3.2%.
Last month, spending on goods bounced off 1.7%, with outlays on long-lasting manufactured goods, including vehicles jumping by 2.3%. Additionally, outlays on services went up by approximately 0.5% the previous month, powered by healthcare spending.
Without energy and food, the personal consumption expenditures price index stood still having ascended by about 0.1% in February.
The US president is back to White House after three days spent in the hospital. Riskier assets rose, while safe havens dipped.
The market sentiment has switched to risk-on, driving upwards stocks and riskier currencies and weighing on the US dollar.
Canada’s retail sales will be out on October 21 at 15:30 MT time. Get ready with us for this event!
The market is resilient ahead of the speeches of Fed’s Powell and ECB President Lagarde, but there are still interesting movements.
The uncertainty over US fiscal stimulus and Brexit, and also rising new virus cases deteriorated the market mood. That’s why we can expect the further rally of the US dollar and the fall of riskier assets today.