What drives the market on July 1?
The market sentiment is mixed. Let’s look at most interesting movements on the market today.
American consumer spending tacks on
In July, American consumer spending jumped firmly, thus hinting at sturdy economic surge in the third quarter. Meanwhile, a measure of underlying inflation reached the Fed’s 2% objective for the third time in 2018.
On Thursday, other data disclosed a soar in fresh applications for unemployment benefits the previous week, although the underlying trend kept pointing to a firm labor market.
However, there’re worries that the current presidential administration's protectionist trade stance that has provoked an escalating trade conflict with China as well as tit-for-tat import duties with other trading partners, such as Canada, Mexico and the EU could impact the American economy.
The Commerce Department told that consumer spending, accounting for more than two-thirds of American economic activity, jumped by 0.4% the previous month having rallied by the same margin in June. In July, households shelled out more at restaurants as well as accommodation.
Additionally, there was a leap in spending on prescription medication. The previous month's ascend in consumer spending turned out to be in line with analysts’ hopes.
In July, prices proceeded with their gradual upward trend. Without energy and food, the personal consumption expenditures price index managed to jump by 0.2% having soared by 0.1% in June.
It lifted the year-on-year jump in the core PCE price index to up to 2% from June’s reading of 1.9%. Eventually, the core PCE index turns out to be the Fed's primary inflation gauge. In March, it hit the Fed’s 2% inflation objective for the first time since April 2012.
Published the previous week the minutes of the Fed's July 31-Aug. 1 gathering disclosed that some policymakers were concerned over the fact a prolonged period in which the US economy acted beyond potential could provoke inflationary pressures.
As a matter of fact, wages managed to surge by 0.4%.
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How to trade on June 26?
Investors stay optimistic because they believe that the second wave will be offset by the additional stimulus measures from the government.
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What will affect markets on July 3?
The overall market sentiment was mixed after the USA recorded the largest increase in virus cases since May 9. The data even offset the better-than-expected NFP.
How to trade on July 2?
The risk-on tone is back on the market again. Let’s look at main trading opportunities.
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