ECB is ready to take the decision about the key rate. What to expect from officials? Oil prices are high, and economy indicators demonstrate the slowing down in the strongest European economies.
American factory activity speeds down
A gauge of American factory activity rebounded from a more than 14-year maximum in September because surge in fresh orders decelerated, although supply bottlenecks eased, dropping a hint at a stable tempo of expansion in US manufacturing.
Other Monday’s data disclosed a minor surge in construction spending in August in the face of weakness in investment in private residential as well as nonresidential projects. Evidently, the report didn’t do a lot to change views of firm economic surge in the third quarter.
In addition to this, the Institute for Supply Management told that its index of national factory activity lost 1.5 points to a result of 59.8 in September from 61.3 in August that turned out to be the highest reading since May 2004. An outcome above 50 hints at surge in manufacturing, which amounts to 12% of the American economy.
US leader’s "America First" trade stance has left America embroiled in a fierce trade conflict with China as well as tit-for-tat import levies with other trading partners, including Canada, the European Union, and Mexico.
The previous week the US government imposed levies on $200 billion worth of China’s products, with the Chinese authorities responding with tariffs on $60 billion worth of American products. By the way, China and America had already put tariffs on $50 billion worth of each other's exports.
As a matter of fact, the ISM's new orders sub-index went down to an outcome of 61.8 in September from August’s reading of 65.1. The poll’s factory employment measure ascended to 58.8, which happens to be the highest outcome since February.
American equities managed to ascend because market participants generally appreciated the trade pact between Mexico, Canada, and the United States. The evergreen buck strengthened marginally versus a group of currencies, while American Treasury yield added.
The Fed is going to take a decision about the interest rate. This is the crucial news for the following week. What's going on in the markets and what to expect?
The market is pricing that the Fed will leave the rate at the same level. Meanwhile the major players think that the Fed will start with the monetary easing in the second quarter 2024.
US stock markets started falling, while the US dollar is rising. What to expect from
Oil prices are rising and Russia banned the export of its petrol. What's happening in the markets?
Today's main event for the markets is the FOMC Interest Rate Decision, where the US regulator is widely expected to keep the interest rate at the same level of 5.5%.