Riskier assets and gold ended last week with huge gains due to the weak US dollar’s performance. Let’s discuss what will drive the markets today.
American job surge speeds up from 17-month dip
In March, American employment surge managed to rebound from a 17-month minimum due to the fact that milder weather backed activity in such sectors as construction that could further soothe fears of a steep deceleration in the economic surge in the first quarter.
In fact, worsening worker shortages along with lingering effects of tighter financial market conditions at the turn of 2019 dropped a hint that the job gains were still below 2018's brisk rate.
On Friday, the Labor Department's monthly employment report would follow on the heels of positive construction spending as well as factory data, which led Wall Street financial institutions to spur their surge estimates for the first quarter.
As for nonfarm payrolls, in February, they managed to jump by 180,000 jobs. Traders would like to know if February's paltry 20,000 job count, which is the smallest reading since September 2017, is updated upwards.
The American economy has just shifted into lower gear because stimulus from the current presidential administration's $1.5 trillion tax trim package and increased government spending recedes. Moreover, a trade conflict between China and America, in addition to decelerating global surge have taken a toll on the US economy that will celebrate 10 years of expansion in July – the longest expansion ever.
Surge estimates for the first quarter are actually between a 1.4% and 2.1% annualized rate. In the fourth quarter, the American economy managed to surge by 2.2%, diving from the July-September quarter's impressive 3.4% outcome.
Fears of a steep economic deceleration could also be soothed by strengthening wage surge as well as a low unemployment rate. As for average hourly earnings, they’re anticipated to have surged by 0.3% in March having rallied by 0.4% in February.
The US president is back to White House after three days spent in the hospital. Riskier assets rose, while safe havens dipped.
The market sentiment has switched to risk-on, driving upwards stocks and riskier currencies and weighing on the US dollar.
Canada’s retail sales will be out on October 21 at 15:30 MT time. Get ready with us for this event!
The market is resilient ahead of the speeches of Fed’s Powell and ECB President Lagarde, but there are still interesting movements.
The uncertainty over US fiscal stimulus and Brexit, and also rising new virus cases deteriorated the market mood. That’s why we can expect the further rally of the US dollar and the fall of riskier assets today.