Riskier assets and gold ended last week with huge gains due to the weak US dollar’s performance. Let’s discuss what will drive the markets today.
American wholesale inventories report the largest leap for five years
In December, American wholesale inventories tacked on by the most for over five years because sales kept diving, hinting at an unintended piling up of products at wholesalers, which could be indicating a deceleration in demand.
On Monday, the Commerce Department told that wholesale inventories went up by 1.1% that appears to be the most impressive leap since October 2013. November’s data was updated upwards to demonstrate wholesale inventories soaring by 0.4% versus the previously posted 0.3%. In December, wholesale inventories ramped up 7.3% on a year-on-year basis.
Financial analyst had hoped inventories at wholesalers would head north by 0.3% in December.
In December, the component of wholesale inventories utilized in the calculation of GDP surge went up by 1.1%. Eventually the December wholesale inventory report was postponed by a five-week partial shutdown of the US federal cabinet, which finished on January 25.
Notwithstanding goods piling up at wholesalers, it follows from data that inventories most likely subtracted from GDP surge in the fourth quarter. Besides this, inventory investment went up by 2.33% versus the third quarter's outcome of 3.4%.
Reports on December retail sales along with business spending plans on equipment have also indicated a deceleration in surge at the end of the previous year. The Atlanta Federal Reserve is predicting that GDP will tack on by 1.4%. The US cabinet is going to have its delayed fourth-quarter GDP report published on Thursday.
By the way, wholesale car inventories went up by 0.9% in December having ascended by 0.6% in November. As for hardware inventories, they tacked on by 1.7%, which appears to be the greatest soar since June 2012 having leapt by 1.2% in November. Furniture shares jumped by 2.4% that is the most impressive reading since November 2012.
The US president is back to White House after three days spent in the hospital. Riskier assets rose, while safe havens dipped.
The market sentiment has switched to risk-on, driving upwards stocks and riskier currencies and weighing on the US dollar.
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The market is resilient ahead of the speeches of Fed’s Powell and ECB President Lagarde, but there are still interesting movements.
The uncertainty over US fiscal stimulus and Brexit, and also rising new virus cases deteriorated the market mood. That’s why we can expect the further rally of the US dollar and the fall of riskier assets today.