Happy Friday, traders! Are you ready to trade at the end of the week? Here’s what you need to know before you start:
An important indicator for the USD strength
The level of non-manufacturing PMI for the United States by the Institute of Supply Management will be published at 17:00 MT time on February 5.
Instruments to trade: EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD
The indicator represents the index based on the survey of about 400 purchasing managers, which asks respondents to rate the level of business conditions. The indicator above 50 shows the optimistic conditions of the economy, while the indicator below 50 signals about the contraction. Last time the index reached the 55 level, outperforming the analysts' expectations of 54.5. This was the natural reaction to the optimism surrounding the US-China phase one trade deal. However, with the new challenges the global economy is facing right now, we may expect this optimism to be short-lived. So, will we see a different outcome this time?
• If the indicator is higher than the forecasts, the USD will rise;
• If the indicator is lower than the forecasts, the USD will fall.
The first week of November promises to be eventful, as we have the Fed meeting, the BOE update, and the NFP release. Read more details here.
Last week several important economic updates influenced the Forex market. US preliminary GDP fell less than expected (0.6% actual vs. 0.7% forecast). Below you will find the key events to trade on during the week from August 29 to September 2.
This week may be the most important since the year started as the Fed assess the economic outlook and the US presents fresh NFP readings.
S&P Global, a private banking company, will release a monthly change in British Flash Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) on January 24, 11:30 GMT+2. The index is a leading indicator of economic health as businesses react quickly to market conditions, and purchasing managers hold the most current and relevant insight into the company's view of the economy.
The United States Bureau of Labor Statistics will publish the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) m/m on January 12 at 15:30 GMT+2. The index measures a change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers.