Last week, there were sharp swings in USDJPY, a decline in oil prices, and a surge in Tesla stock. What's next?
An important indicator for the USD strength
The level of non-manufacturing PMI for the United States by the Institute of Supply Management will be published at 17:00 MT time on February 5.
Instruments to trade: EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD
The indicator represents the index based on the survey of about 400 purchasing managers, which asks respondents to rate the level of business conditions. The indicator above 50 shows the optimistic conditions of the economy, while the indicator below 50 signals about the contraction. Last time the index reached the 55 level, outperforming the analysts' expectations of 54.5. This was the natural reaction to the optimism surrounding the US-China phase one trade deal. However, with the new challenges the global economy is facing right now, we may expect this optimism to be short-lived. So, will we see a different outcome this time?
• If the indicator is higher than the forecasts, the USD will rise;
• If the indicator is lower than the forecasts, the USD will fall.
Geopolitical factors and inflation remain the main drivers of financial markets. Let’s see how to use that in trading!
Have a look at the key financial instruments on Monday, February 28. Geopolitics is currently on all news frontlines. Western nations escalated sanctions on Russia for the invasion of Ukraine.
The United States will publish the Preliminary GDP on Thursday, May 26, at 15:30 GMT+3.
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand will publish a monetary policy report and make an update on the interest rate on May 25, at 05:00 GMT+3.
The Australian Bureau of Statistics will announce the updated Unemployment Rate and Employment Change data on Thursday, May 19, at 04:30 MT.