Last week several important economic updates influenced the Forex market. US preliminary GDP fell less than expected (0.6% actual vs. 0.7% forecast). Below you will find the key events to trade on during the week from August 29 to September 2.
An important indicator for the USD strength
The level of non-manufacturing PMI for the United States by the Institute of Supply Management will be published at 17:00 MT time on February 5.
Instruments to trade: EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD
The indicator represents the index based on the survey of about 400 purchasing managers, which asks respondents to rate the level of business conditions. The indicator above 50 shows the optimistic conditions of the economy, while the indicator below 50 signals about the contraction. Last time the index reached the 55 level, outperforming the analysts' expectations of 54.5. This was the natural reaction to the optimism surrounding the US-China phase one trade deal. However, with the new challenges the global economy is facing right now, we may expect this optimism to be short-lived. So, will we see a different outcome this time?
• If the indicator is higher than the forecasts, the USD will rise;
• If the indicator is lower than the forecasts, the USD will fall.
Last week, there were sharp swings in USDJPY, a decline in oil prices, and a surge in Tesla stock. What's next?
Geopolitical factors and inflation remain the main drivers of financial markets. Let’s see how to use that in trading!
Main news that will drive the market in the upcoming week include CB Consumer Confidence Index, Canadian GDP, and US Core PCE Price Index
The Federal Reserve (Fed) will announce its Interest Rate Decision and make a statement about the future monetary policy on Wednesday, September 21, GMT+3. After the higher-than-expected inflation numbers published on September 13, there’s almost no doubt the Federal Reserve will come up with another 75-basis-point rate hike. However, surprised by the CPI numbers, several Fed members announced the possibility of a 100-basis-point rate hike on Wednesday.
Every week we expect many interesting events that can shake the market.