US stocks and oil slipped as Donald Trump threatened not to sign a long-awaited stimulus bill into law. The market sentiment had been already fragile, and Trump’s comments worsened it even more.
An opportunity to trade the Canadian dollar
The Bank of Canada will make its rate statement on December 5 at 17:00 MT time.
Last time the Reserve Bank of Canada lifted its interest rate to 1.75% in October, as widely expected. It was the third increase this year. The rate reached the highest level since 2008. As the USMCA agreement was reached, the BOC can suggest hints on further tightening of its monetary policy. We do not anticipate the rate hike this time, but the comments from the statement can increase the volatility in the market.
• If the BOC statement is hawkish, the CAD will rise.
• If the BOC statement is dovish, the CAD will fall.
The European Central Bank will publish the monetary policy statement with the interest rate decision on January 21, at 14:45 MT time.
Joe Biden is going to unveil a Covid-19 relief package of about $2 trillion. After this announcement, the 10-year Treasury yield rose, adding support for the USD.
The US dollar’s weakness offered a boost to emerging-market currencies and oil.