The US dollar turned to the upside on Monday. Let's discuss what to expect next from the market.
Another challenge for the EUR
The Business Climate Indicator will be announced at 12:00 MT on January 8.
The Business Climate Indicator is based on five parameters of business activity and accounting, reported by thousands of companies across the Eurozone. Hence, it gives a comprehensive view of the European manufacturing sector. This year, the BCI has been consistently decreasing month after month with a few exceptions to the overall declining trend. The releases of the last three months were negative, indicating very moderate expectations of the business sector. The November figure of -0.23 fell below the expected -0.14, putting the euro under additional pressure. If the same happens on January 8, EUR will likely drop.
- If the BCI falls below the forecasts, EUR will fall.
- If the BCI outperforms the forecasts, EUR will be supported.
Three main drivers of the market: the stimulus package, the US presidential election and the coronavirus. Let's look how market reacts.
EU Flash Manufacturing & Services PMI will come out on Friday at 11:00 MT time!
The focus of traders’ attention shifted from Brexit and the US stimulus to the coronavirus . The WHO claimed that Europe become the new Covid-19 epicenter.
Canada will publish the monthly GDP growth on October 30 at 14:30 MT time.
The European Central Bank publishes the monetary policy statement alongside with an update on the interest rate on October 29, at 14:45 MT time.