April seasonal patterns weren’t supposed to work, but somehow they did. Even a strong fundamental issue such as the global recession amid the coronavirus couldn’t overwhelm it. That’s why May seasonal patterns may work as well.
Asian currencies head north as risk appetite gets back
On Monday, the evergreen buck gave up some ground in Asia in the morning because traders piled into stocks, crude as well as risky Asian currencies reacting to a softening US-China trade clash over the weekend.
An agreement by American leader Donald Trump and his Chinese counterpart Xi Jinping at the G20 summit the weekend in Argentina over to put on hold any new levies for up to 90 days and intensify trade negotiations gave new life to risky markets.
Gauging the purchasing potential of the evergreen buck against a number of its rivals the USD index declined by 0.3% trading at 96.97.
In general, Asian currencies managed to inch up versus the evergreen buck, particularly those more heavily impacted by commodities. In addition to this, the Australian dollar along with New Zealand one headed north. By the way, the NZD/USD pair managed to reach the maximum not observed since June, ascending by up to 0.55% ending up with 0.6905. The currency pair AUD/USD inched up by up to 0.74% being worth 0.7360.
The currency pair USD/JPY dipped by nearly 0.04% trading at 113.53.
The greenback also gained ground versus its Chinese counterpart. The currency pair USD/CNY rallied by 0.02% hitting 6.9601.
Along with the suspension of trade hostilities, the Chinese Yuan was impacted by the publication of the Caixin/Markit Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index for November, suggesting that factory activity has improved. For November, the Caixin PMI accounted for 50.2, surpassing an estimate of 50.0 and higher in contrast with October’s reading of 50.1. The official PMI hit 50 on Friday, which is below expectations.
Notwithstanding the upbeat tone of the Caixin PMI result, a sub-index that gauges new export orders went down to about 47.7, decreasing from October’s reading of 48.8.
It’s a tough time for the Turkish lira. The USD/TRY is moving up strongly and aggressively.
The British pound has increased in value over the course of the past week in line with an ongoing improvement in investor sentiment.
Poor US data, slow vaccine distribution, rising virus cases worsened the market sentiment and underpinned safe-haven currencies like the USD, and JPY.
The European Central Bank will publish the monetary policy statement with the interest rate decision on January 21, at 14:45 MT time.
Joe Biden is going to unveil a Covid-19 relief package of about $2 trillion. After this announcement, the 10-year Treasury yield rose, adding support for the USD.