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Australian Job Data Will Impact AUD
What will happen?
Australia will release employment change and an unemployment rate on Thursday, November 11, at 02:30 MT (GMT+2). The employment change shows how many Australians were employed during the previous month, while the unemployment rate measures the total workforce that is unemployed.
Why is it important?
These indicators are significant as they give the most relevant information about the Australian labor market. In addition to the direct impact (more jobs are good/fewer jobs are bad), the Reserve Bank of Australia bases its policy decisions on the jobs data. The strong data may force the RBA to tighten the policy earlier than initially thought, which would push the AUD up.
Last time, the data was mixed. The employment change was down by 138K (vs. the forecast of -108.5K), and the unemployment rate was 4.6%, beating expectations of 4.8%. AUD/JPY jumped briefly but then dropped by 148 points.
How to trade on Australian labor data?
Easy! Compare the actual job numbers with the market forecasts, which appear a few days before the report in the economic calendar.
- If the Australian labor data is better than the forecasts, the AUD will surge.
- Otherwise – drop.
Instruments to trade: AUD/USD, AUD/JPY, AUD/NZD, and other pairs with the AUD.
Read the article to get the latest news and fresh trade ideas!
The Fed is ready to start tapering in November. Since the markets were expecting this and it wasn’t a surprise, the USD slumped allowing risk-on currencies and gold to rally up.
Main news that will drive the market in the upcoming week include CB Consumer Confidence Index, Canadian GDP, and US Core PCE Price Index
The Federal Reserve (Fed) will announce its Interest Rate Decision and make a statement about the future monetary policy on Wednesday, September 21, GMT+3. After the higher-than-expected inflation numbers published on September 13, there’s almost no doubt the Federal Reserve will come up with another 75-basis-point rate hike. However, surprised by the CPI numbers, several Fed members announced the possibility of a 100-basis-point rate hike on Wednesday.
Every week we expect many interesting events that can shake the market.