Trading EUR: await news from the ECB
The ECB Monetary Policy Meeting Accounts will be released at 14:30 MT on January 16
Bank of England lifts interest rates above crisis minimums
On Thursday, the Bank of England had its interest rates lifted above their financial crisis minimums. However, Britain’s major bank stressed it wasn’t going to keep increasing them in the nearer future because Brexit approaches with its uncertain terms.
The major bank’s nine rate-setters suddenly turned out to be unanimous in their vote to have rates lifted from 0.50% to 0.75%.
Financial analysts polled by Reuters had hoped for a 7-2 vote in favor of lifting rates.
Britain’s key bank told that the British economy, while soaring more slowly than it did previously ahead of the UK’s departure from the EU in 2019, was operating at nearly its speed limit, thus increasing the likelihood of greater home-grown inflation pressure ahead.
However, the message for interest rates still appeared to be one of gradual as well as limited leaps as Britain’s primary financial institution saw inflation just a fraction higher than its 2% objective for the next few years.
The estimate was built around on bets by traders who actually expect another rate lift next year or even in 2020. They guess the BoE will increase its rates to 1.1% in 2020. Evidently, it was a bit lower than an estimate of 1.2% the last time Britain’s major bank came up with estimates for the UK economy in May.
As for the reaction of the financial markets, it was quite muted. As a matter of fact, the British currency tacked on versus its US counterpart, while the UK government bond revenue added, but then slumped.
The world's number five economy has speeded down since the referendum outcome of 2016 to break up with the European Union.
At the same time the Bank of England kept drawing attention to the fact that the UK economy could be endangered by excessive inflation even with sluggish surge.
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We expect the US-China phase one trade deal to be signed on Wednesday and multiple important indicators for the USD. Plus, it is the first week of the earnings reports
Trading GBP on the news
The British yearly CPI will be released at 11:30 MT on January 15
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