What events to follow and how to trade during the week of July 2-6?
Gold reversed from dips ahead Biden's speech
- The US dollar keeps climbing up, heading for its best quarter in 12 months.
- 10-year Treasury yields reached a 14-month high of 1.77%.
- Gold dropped to the lows unseen since June of the last year.
- Bitcoin pauses yesterday’s growth. Now it is trading under $59,000.
- US President Joe Biden is expected to unveil a huge infrastructure package today, which will add fresh volatility to markets.
- China’s manufacturing industry rose more than expected, showing that economic activity recovers and demand strengthens.
EUR/USD has broken through the lower trend line at 1.1750 but has failed to cross the psychological mark of 1.1700 so far. If it manages to do so, the way down to November’s low of 1.1630 will be open. On the flip side, if the sentiment changes and the euro gets a stimulus to rise, it may return to the resistance of 1.1750. If it crosses it, the doors to the high of March 26 at 1.1800 will be open.
GBP/USD has been falling inside the descending channel. If it manages to break the 50-period moving average of 1.3780, the way up to the 100-period MA of 1.3840 will be open. On the flip side, the move below the intraday low of 1.3720 will press the pound to the low of March 25 at 1.3680.
USD/JPY was rallying up for six days in a row. Today it has bounced off the resistance of 111.00 as the RSI indicator went above 70.00, indicating the pair is overbought. If it finally manages to break through 111.00, the way up to the next round number of 111.50 will be open. In the opposite scenario, if bears keep momentum and the pair drops below 110.30, it may fall to the key psychological mark of 110.00.
Finally, let’s discuss gold. After the sharp drop, it has reversed from the support of $1680. If it manages to break above yesterday’s high of $1715, the way up to the high of March 26 will be open. On the flip side, if it drops below $1680, it will fall to the 100-weekly moving average of $1660 (switch to the weekly chart to see it).
EUR/USD retraced to 1.1870 after breaking out this level. It should be just a natural sell-off ahead of the further rally up.
The Fed held a much-awaited meeting yesterday. The bank hasn’t made any policy changes. As a result, the USD weakened and EUR/USD rocketed. Jump in to know all the latest news!
Our analyst discusses the latest news and shares his trade ideas on gold, EUR/USD, and S&P 500. Jump in!
The Bank of England will publish a monetary policy statement and update on the interest rate on Thursday, at 14:00 MT time.
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) will hold a meeting and announce changes to the monetary policy on August 3, at 07:30 MT time (GMT+3).