US dollar turned up after closing in red yesterday
The market sentiment is mixed, but there are still interesting movements on the market.
British annual inflation reaches two-year minimum of 1.8%
In January, the annual rate of inflation in Great Britain went down to 1.8%, which is its lowest outcome since December 2016. That’s what follows from the data uncovered on Wednesday.
January’s inflation outcome is lower than December’s 2.1% and also an estimate for a dive 1.9%.
While the deceleration in inflation underlines the case for the BoE to hold off for the time being on further tightening against the backdrop of the political downtime surrounding Britain’s departure from the EU, experts are assured that there’s still room to rate lifts in 2019.
The tumble in inflation follows this week’s data, which revealed that in 2018 the UK economy headed north at the slowest tempo since 2012 because fears over Brexit as well as a wider global economic deceleration affected confidence, therefore businesses cut investment.
Investors generally expect Britain’s major financial institution to refrain from changing interest rates until uncertainty from ongoing talks over Brexit is tackled, leaving the major bank heavily pressed to move forward until after the March 29 deadline is over.
Previously, BoE governor Mark Carney told that stable global surge is more probable than a recession, although highlighted some risks to the outlook, such as soaring debt in China as well as a reduction in openness to trade.
Moreover, the statesman added that Brexit could act as the acid test of whether the financial world can combine the virtues of economic openness with considerable democratic accountability.
Carney stressed that considering that the expansion persists, a mild tightening of monetary policy over time will probably be enough to meet inflation objectives. So, the policy can still be gradual, limited, and data dependent.
While experts are still cautious, they suggest the BoE might have rates tightened in 2019.
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Will sentiment remain risk-on on Monday?
Riskier assets and gold ended last week with huge gains due to the weak US dollar’s performance. Let’s discuss what will drive the markets today.
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The market is resilient ahead of the speeches of Fed’s Powell and ECB President Lagarde, but there are still interesting movements.
Uncertainty underpinned USD
The uncertainty over US fiscal stimulus and Brexit, and also rising new virus cases deteriorated the market mood. That’s why we can expect the further rally of the US dollar and the fall of riskier assets today.
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