ECB is ready to take the decision about the key rate. What to expect from officials? Oil prices are high, and economy indicators demonstrate the slowing down in the strongest European economies.
British CPI is in the arena
Consumer Price Index (CPI) is the UK’s most important inflation indicator because it’s used as the central bank’s inflation target. The pound is depreciating because of Brexit deal’s uncertainties. Although the UK hasn’t left the European Union yet, the British economy is already under great pressure. As the economy weakens, the pound goes down. To recover, the pound needs improvement in economic indicators.
Annual inflation in the UK declined to 2.4% in April 2018 from 2.5% in March, and below market expectations of 2.5%. It is the lowest rate since March 2017. Although the Bank of England’s inflation target is at 2%, a decline of CPI makes traders think that the central bank won’t raise interest rates this year. This is negative for the pound.
The UK CPI figures will be released at 11:30 MT time on June 13.
• If the data is greater than the forecast, the British pound will appreciate.
• If the data is weaker than the forecast, the British pound will go down.
The Fed is going to take a decision about the interest rate. This is the crucial news for the following week. What's going on in the markets and what to expect?
The market is pricing that the Fed will leave the rate at the same level. Meanwhile the major players think that the Fed will start with the monetary easing in the second quarter 2024.
Mester (Fed) says the Fed will have to raise rates again this year. However, the US dollar index shows signs of a short-term decline. Read the full article and learn more!
Welcome to the first week of October! As usual, at the start of the week, we are looking for valuable insights that will bring us profits in trading. Let’s observe the main events.
Inflation in Europe was released better than the forecast. The preliminary fact was published at 4.3%. What's happening in the markets?