The British monthly GDP is announced on Friday at 09:00 MT time.
British CPI is in the arena
Consumer Price Index (CPI) is the UK’s most important inflation indicator because it’s used as the central bank’s inflation target. The pound is depreciating because of Brexit deal’s uncertainties. Although the UK hasn’t left the European Union yet, the British economy is already under great pressure. As the economy weakens, the pound goes down. To recover, the pound needs improvement in economic indicators.
Annual inflation in the UK declined to 2.4% in April 2018 from 2.5% in March, and below market expectations of 2.5%. It is the lowest rate since March 2017. Although the Bank of England’s inflation target is at 2%, a decline of CPI makes traders think that the central bank won’t raise interest rates this year. This is negative for the pound.
The UK CPI figures will be released at 11:30 MT time on June 13.
• If the data is greater than the forecast, the British pound will appreciate.
• If the data is weaker than the forecast, the British pound will go down.
The main market tendency today is that the US dollar is rising against its major peers and riskier assets such as stocks and oil are plummeting.
The USD continues dipping, while the GBP is rising on hopes for the Brexit deal done today.
The European Central Bank will publish the monetary policy statement with the interest rate decision on January 21, at 14:45 MT time.
Joe Biden is going to unveil a Covid-19 relief package of about $2 trillion. After this announcement, the 10-year Treasury yield rose, adding support for the USD.
The US dollar’s weakness offered a boost to emerging-market currencies and oil.