The ECB Monetary Policy Meeting Accounts will be released at 14:30 MT on January 16
British services surge speeds down to 7-month minimum
In Britain’s dominant services sector, business activity speeded down to a seven-month minimum in October, and companies’ expectations for the coming year are the worst since the 2016 Brexit vote. That’s what a key poll disclosed on Monday.
In October, the IHS Markit/CIPS purchasing managers' index hit 52.2 in contrast with September’s reading of 53.9, which is its lowest value since March’ unusually icy weather as well as a bigger economic dive than market experts had foreseen in a Reuters survey.
Businesses' hopes for stronger activity over the next 12 months turned out to be the most downbeat since July 2016, exactly when they briefly reached a post-financial downtime minimum after the vote to break up with the European bloc.
The downbeat service sector numbers bring evidence that Brexit fears are putting more pressure on the British economy, as some experts pointed out.
Theresa May, UK Prime Minister has yet to agree a withdrawal pact with the European bloc in order to ensure services, products as well as employees will keep crossing borders after the United Kingdom finally leaves the EU on March 29 2019.
UK companies also posted headwinds from a decelerating global economy, financial market turbulence as well as trade tensions.
The previous week the Bank of England predicted that the UK’s rate of economic surge would halve to about 0.3% in the final three months of this year from an estimated 0.6% in the third quarter of 2018.
However, the dismal services data showed up after the worst manufacturing PMI since the Brexit vote.
As a matter of fact, the two PMIs along with firm construction data, appear to be the weakest since March, pointing to quarterly surge of up to 0.2% if the situation doesn’t get better, as experts explained.
We expect the US-China phase one trade deal to be signed on Wednesday and multiple important indicators for the USD. Plus, it is the first week of the earnings reports
The British yearly CPI will be released at 11:30 MT on January 15
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The recent Chinese figures bring optimism
On Thursday, January 16 two central banks: the Reserve bank of South Africa and the Turkish Central Bank will make their interest rate decisions.