Strong USD on Tuesday
The main market tendency today is that the US dollar is rising against its major peers and riskier assets such as stocks and oil are plummeting.
Can you make a profit on American inflation?
The US monthly CPI is announced at 15:30 MT time on Thursday.
Instruments to trade: EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, AUD/USD
Last year, US inflation was moving within the corridor of 0.1% to 0.4%, with the exception of January and September when it came at the zero level.
December 0.2% was just a bit lower than the expected 0.3% and did not create a significant reaction in the USD. The currency did not show any noticeable response to that announcement: EUR/USD, USD/CAD, USD/JPY, and other pairs continued their respective trends with little correlation to the released CPI.
Hence, it is safe to assume that the USD will keep its respective course against other currencies on the day of the CPI release unless the discrepancy between the market expectation and the actual number is significant.
- If the indicator substantially outperforms the forecast, the USD will be boosted.
- If the indicator undershoots the expectations, the USD will drop.
Similar
Will the USD grow with the US labor market?
The US unemployment claims are out on Thursday at 15:30 MT time.
Will the US CPI boost the USD?
The American CPI is announced on Wednesday at 15:30 MT time.
Latest news
ECB report is in focus
The European Central Bank will publish the monetary policy statement with the interest rate decision on January 21, at 14:45 MT time.
Markets await Biden to unveil "trillions dollars"
Joe Biden is going to unveil a Covid-19 relief package of about $2 trillion. After this announcement, the 10-year Treasury yield rose, adding support for the USD.
USD came under selling pressure
The US dollar’s weakness offered a boost to emerging-market currencies and oil.
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