Canada will release the employment change and the unemployment rate on October 9, at 15:30 MT time.
Canadian dollar will go up on further interest rate lifts
Over the coming year the Canadian dollar is predicted to tack on, as a Reuters survey disclosed on Thursday. The assumption is built around the fact that Bank of Canada interest rate lifts as well as broad pressure on the evergreen buck will compensate uncertainty regarding the future of the NAFTA trade pact.
The survey of more than 40 foreign exchange experts foresaw that the Canadian currency is going to rally up to C$1.250 versus the US dollar just in one month. Following a period of stabilization, in a year the Canadian major currency is supposed to rise to C$1.230.
Canada’s higher interest rates along with positive economic data are expected to assist the country’s major currency, as some financial experts stressed. In addition to this a reduction of the latest fluctuation in the stock market can lend support too.
On Friday, the Canadian dollar rebounded more than 2% since equities started tumbling abruptly. The previous week Loonie demonstrated its strongest outcome for more than four months sticking to C$1.225.
Commodity-linked currencies are used to underperforming when equities go down. It’s because of the signal sent by it on prospects for economic surge worldwide. As a matter of fact, crude turns to be one of the country’s crucial exports.
In January, the Bank of Canada had its benchmark interest rate lifted to 1.25%. That’s its third lift since July, and it drops a hint that the Canadian economy’s approaching its full capacity.
In 2018, money markets expect two further lifts, although economic data will probably require staying sturdy enough to back extra policy tightening.
Loonie is expected to be extremely vulnerable to any dismal data the months ahead. Market experts suggest the Canadian dollar will dive to C$1.27 just in one month and then in a year get back to C$1.23.
Canada’s retail sales will be out on October 21 at 15:30 MT time. Get ready with us for this event!
The market is resilient ahead of the speeches of Fed’s Powell and ECB President Lagarde, but there are still interesting movements.
The uncertainty over US fiscal stimulus and Brexit, and also rising new virus cases deteriorated the market mood. That’s why we can expect the further rally of the US dollar and the fall of riskier assets today.