The market is resilient ahead of the speeches of Fed’s Powell and ECB President Lagarde, but there are still interesting movements.
China’s March factory activity shrinks for the fourth month
In China, in March, factory activity tumbled for a fourth straight month, in a sign that the Chinese economy is still losing steam. It contributed to fears about faltering global surge.
A dismal outcome, coming on the heels of the steepest dive in industrial gain for 7 years, would underline the necessity of greater stimulus as the Chinese government struggles to fix the national economy and resolve a bruising trade conflict with America.
The official Purchasing Managers' Index hit 49.5, soaring a bit from February's outcome of 49.2, although still below the 50 mark, which separates contraction from expansion on a monthly basis.
In March, seasonal factors probably drove the uptick in the factory indicator because factories increased activity after last month’s long Lunar New Year holidays. Besides this, some steel mills have also began to ramp up output as winter smog restrictions are over.
While weakness in the headline result is generally anticipated, policymakers and traders will probably focus on whether there’s any improvement in domestic orders responding to a series of surge boosting measures for the last time.
Export orders will probably stay weak because China's trade-oriented neighbors, including South Korea, Taiwan, and Japan have all faced decelerating demand.
Tit-for-tat levies slapped by China and America remain in place as they keep negotiating their trade issues. However, with the everlasting trade conflict, which has disrupted the flow of billions of dollars of goods between the two leading economies, no one knows for sure whether an agreement acceptable to the partners can be made or not.
On Wednesday, US statesmen told that China and America have achieved progress in all negotiated areas.
The market sentiment is mixed, but there are still interesting movements on the market.
After Trump-Biden debates the market reaction was initially positive, but Trump's refusal to accept election results in case of Biden’s victory deteriorated the overall sentiment.
The focus of traders’ attention shifted from Brexit and the US stimulus to the coronavirus . The WHO claimed that Europe become the new Covid-19 epicenter.
Canada will publish the monthly GDP growth on October 30 at 14:30 MT time.
The European Central Bank publishes the monetary policy statement alongside with an update on the interest rate on October 29, at 14:45 MT time.