China’s new loans go down in July

China’s new loans go down in July

As a Reuters survey disclosed, in July, China's new loans sank. However, they’re still firm enough and broad money supply surge might have picked up because China’s major financial institution considered ramping up policy support for the national economy in the face of an escalating trade conflict with the United States.

The trade clash with America, soaring corporate borrowing costs as well as a steep sink in the value of the Chinese currency against the evergreen buck have increased worries that the world's number two economy could experience a steeper deceleration.

Chinese financial institutions were estimated to have lent up to 1.2 trillion Yuan in new Yuan loans in July, dipping from June’s five-month maximum of 1.84 trillion, as follows from a Reuters poll of 36 market experts.

However, the expected July outcome seems to be firm enough in contrast with 825.5 billion Yuan in 2017. As a rule, in July, Chinese financial institutions make few loans having traditionally ramped up lending in June.

In July, broad M2 money supply was caught soaring by 8.2% from 2017, speeding up from June's 8% ascend that turned out to be the lowest value on record, as follows from the survey.

In July, annual surge of outstanding loans speeded up to 12.8% versus June’s outcome of 12.7%.

The PBOC has been pumping out more funds for the purpose of stimulating lending but it struggles to channel credit to small businesses, which are crucial for economic surge as well as job creation, as some financial analysts pointed out.

State financial institutions of China are still reluctant to lend to small businesses, which are traditionally considered to be riskier than state-controlled ones.

The previous week a major bank adviser told that China requires limiting the credit influence of its financial deleveraging drive, expressing worries that tightening might have gone too far.


Market updates on August 15

The risk sentiment remains under pressure after the comments by China about the countermeasures against the US tariffs. Thus, the AUD/USD and the USD/JPY pairs will be under our attention.

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