Chinese data is full of surprises
China will publish manufacturing and non-manufacturing PMIs on December 31, at 3:00 MT time.
China November export surge speeds down as global demand decreases
In November, China's export surge speeded down. However, it’s still demonstrating the double digits. It’s because a decelerating global demand compensated a long lasting rush to ship goods to America ahead of a then-anticipated lift in levies.
The Asian country’s import surge probably softened, although stayed in recent ranges, providing some relief to China’s policymakers concerned about decreasing domestic demand as well as economic disruptions from the trade row with America.
A truce in the everlasting trade clash might improve the near-term outlook for Asia's leading economy, which has been speeding down because of a bunch of domestic factors, such as a multi-year campaign to tame corporate debt as well as risky borrowing practices.
Last weekend, in Argentina, American leader Donald Trump and his Chinese counterpart Xi Jinping came to a 90-day truce, which postponed the already scheduled January 1 American lift of levies to 25% from 10% on $200 billion of China’s products while they debate a trade agreement.
Shipments of Chinese products on an earlier American tariff list targeting approximately $50 billion of goods have already weakened steeply. However, it has been compensated by a rush of shipments on a later list impacting the $200 billion.
The very likelihood of higher American levies from January on China’s products on the second list has hovered over the heads of China’s exporters for months.
By the way, in November, the Asian country’s exports probably surged by 10% from 2017, which is slower than October’s 15.6% leap.
In November, the Chinese import surge slumped to 14.5% from October’s 21.4% rally.
It’s believed that decreasing global demand along with domestic headwinds from diving credit growth as well as a slower property market might cast a greater shadow on the Chinese economy soon, even without the drag of extra levies.
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