
The British monthly GDP is announced on Friday at 09:00 MT time.
The USD is weaker, other currencies are recovering.
There is a chance that the pound will strengthen after the release of the White Paper, as any progress on the deal is a key to the GBP growth.
Up to now, GBP/USD has been moving to the resistance at 1.3225 (the pivot point). Positive signals after the release will pull the pair above it. The next resistance is at 1.3280. Otherwise, the pair will turn around to the support at 1.3155.
WTI rebounded from the support at $70.63. The resistance is at $72.20.
If there is no shocking news in the near future, oil has chances to recover. MAs are moving up on Brent and WTI charts. This is a good signal for the oil prices.
A forecast form ANZ.
According to the bank, a net production will increase by 600K bbl a day in the second half of 2018. The increase will come at the cost of the spare capacity. The possibility of the production rise in 2m bbl a day by Saudi Arabia is unlikely because it will diminish the spare capacity to 0. OPEC supply will be limited with further disruptions (Iran, Libya, Venezuela, Angola).
What about demand? Trade wars tensions will affect the economic growth and as a result, the oil demand. The forecast for the oil market: oil prices will remain volatile. Prices will be in a range of $75-80 a barrel in the second half of 2018.
That’s all for today! Follow market news with FBS!
The British monthly GDP is announced on Friday at 09:00 MT time.
The main market tendency today is that the US dollar is rising against its major peers and riskier assets such as stocks and oil are plummeting.
The US unemployment claims are out on Thursday at 15:30 MT time.
The European Central Bank will publish the monetary policy statement with the interest rate decision on January 21, at 14:45 MT time.
Joe Biden is going to unveil a Covid-19 relief package of about $2 trillion. After this announcement, the 10-year Treasury yield rose, adding support for the USD.
The US dollar’s weakness offered a boost to emerging-market currencies and oil.
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