The US dollar index keeps rounding above the 103.60 historical support level. The buyers have already defended this level for three weeks, highlighting their interest in the greenback. Thus, buying USD looks less risky right now.
Daily News: Thursday, February 22
The Fed’s meeting caused a lot of events on the FX market. Let’s look!
- The US dollar remains strong after the Fed’s minutes. Yesterday Fed’s meeting minutes just strengthened the confidence of soon rate hikes based on the upgraded forecast for the economic outlook since December. Talks about the fourth rise of the interest rate appeared immediately, however, it is too early to talk about it. The soonest rate hike is anticipated in March.
- The Fed meeting was followed by several consequents. The US stock market closed lower. The S&P 500 Index fell by 0.67%. Despite the Fed’s positive comments on the economy, investors focused on the rate hikes that will have a negative effect on the stock market in a short-term.
- The strengthening of the greenback led to the further plunge of the euro. The EUR/USD pair is lower 1.23. The only thing that can support the euro now is today ECB monetary policy meeting accounts (14:30 MT time) with views on a potential change in the forward guidance.
- The dollar is appreciating against all currencies except the yen. The USD/JPY pair is falling again. The yen is a safe haven currency that increases during times of uncertainty and decrease of risk appetite. As soon as speculations of a soon rise of the US interest rate reduced investor’s risk appetite and affected equities’ growth, the Japanese currency jumped.
- Canadian retail sales and core retail sales figures will be released today at 15:30 MT time. The forecast is lower than the previous data, so. The USD/CAD pair is climbing to 38.2 Fibonacci retracement level at 1.2720.
- Oil is continuing to fall. Strong dollar and today crude oil inventories data have affected oil prices again, so an increase of the American oil production is anticipated. WTI is trading near $61 a barrel, Brent is near $65 a barrel.
Happy Monday, dear traders! Hope you had a great weekend and you’re ready for the last trading week in 2022! Later this week we’ll announce some exciting news for you, but now let’s look through some interesting news! Today’s events: USA, UK, Hong…
On the H4 timeframe, the US dollar index has formed a bullish falling wedge. At the beginning of the trading session, the price is testing the upper border of this wedge. Thus, in case of a higher-than-expected Core PCE Price Index m/m, the US dollar will skyrocket against other currencies.
S&P Global, a private banking company, will release a monthly change in British Flash Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) on January 24, 11:30 GMT+2. The index is a leading indicator of economic health as businesses react quickly to market conditions, and purchasing managers hold the most current and relevant insight into the company's view of the economy.
The United States Bureau of Labor Statistics will publish the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) m/m on January 12 at 15:30 GMT+2. The index measures a change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers.
2022 was rough: inflation, energy crisis, and plenty of other controversial situations…