The US dollar index keeps rounding above the 103.60 historical support level. The buyers have already defended this level for three weeks, highlighting their interest in the greenback. Thus, buying USD looks less risky right now.
Did the US economy end the year with a bang?
The US will publish the advance GDP for the fourth quarter of 2020 on January 28, at 15:30 MT time.
Instruments to trade: EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD
It's not a secret that GDP is one of the most important measures of a country's economic activity. Being calculated as a change in the value of all goods and services produced by the economy, it serves as an indicator of economic health. At the start of 2021, we can say that measures taken by both the Federal Reserve and the government back in 2020 worked out just fine. The 3rd quarter GDP jumped by 33.4% after the plunge in the previous quarter. Will we see an even better outcome this time?
- If the indicators are higher than the forecasts, the USD will rise;
- In case of an alternative scenario - fall.
On the H4 timeframe, the US dollar index has formed a bullish falling wedge. At the beginning of the trading session, the price is testing the upper border of this wedge. Thus, in case of a higher-than-expected Core PCE Price Index m/m, the US dollar will skyrocket against other currencies.
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This week may be the most important since the year started as the Fed assess the economic outlook and the US presents fresh NFP readings.
S&P Global, a private banking company, will release a monthly change in British Flash Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) on January 24, 11:30 GMT+2. The index is a leading indicator of economic health as businesses react quickly to market conditions, and purchasing managers hold the most current and relevant insight into the company's view of the economy.
The United States Bureau of Labor Statistics will publish the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) m/m on January 12 at 15:30 GMT+2. The index measures a change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers.