The main market tendency today is that the US dollar is rising against its major peers and riskier assets such as stocks and oil are plummeting.
The policy of the European Central Bank is a major driver for the euro. Ahead of its every meeting, traders await decisions and comments from the ECB and make their predictions. As a result, the EUR is volatile ahead of the event and afterward.
The regulator will publish its monetary policy decision at 14:45 MT time. The ECB President Mario Draghi will hold a press conference at 15:30 MT time.
In June, the ECB announced that it would end monetary stimulus program by the end of the year (good news for the EUR) but signaled that any interest rate hike was still distant (bad news for the EUR). Traders will be eager to know whether the central bank’s approached has changed or not.
• If the ECB is optimistic about the economy and hints at higher interest rates, the EUR will rise.
• If the ECB is pessimistic about the economy and hints at low interest rates, the EUR will go down.
Check the economic calendar
Be ready to a spike in volatility during Mario Draghi’s press conference. If you decide to trade on this event, remember to apply the rules of risk management.
The USD continues dipping, while the GBP is rising on hopes for the Brexit deal done today.
US stocks and oil slipped as Donald Trump threatened not to sign a long-awaited stimulus bill into law. The market sentiment had been already fragile, and Trump’s comments worsened it even more.
The European Central Bank will publish the monetary policy statement with the interest rate decision on January 21, at 14:45 MT time.
Joe Biden is going to unveil a Covid-19 relief package of about $2 trillion. After this announcement, the 10-year Treasury yield rose, adding support for the USD.
The US dollar’s weakness offered a boost to emerging-market currencies and oil.