The main market tendency today is that the US dollar is rising against its major peers and riskier assets such as stocks and oil are plummeting.
ECB monetary policy statement: potential pressure for the euro?
The European Central Bank will publish a monetary policy statement and release the main refinancing rate at 14:45 on September 10. Later, at 15:30 MT time, the ECB President Christine Lagarde will hold a press conference.
Instruments to trade: EUR/USD, EUR/JPY, EUR/CAD
While the interest rate remains at 0%, we recommend following the policymakers' decisions amid the coronavirus crisis. The ECB continues conducting its bond-buying program and considers the need for further actions. Given the current strong performance of the EUR and mixed releases of economic indicators, it would be interesting to see the middle-term economic outlook by the ECB and its plan for further steps regarding monetary policy.
- If the ECB highlights positive developments in the economy of the Eurozone, the EUR will strengthen;
- If the ECB comments about the weak economy and remaining risks, the EUR will weaken.
The USD continues dipping, while the GBP is rising on hopes for the Brexit deal done today.
US stocks and oil slipped as Donald Trump threatened not to sign a long-awaited stimulus bill into law. The market sentiment had been already fragile, and Trump’s comments worsened it even more.
The European Central Bank will publish the monetary policy statement with the interest rate decision on January 21, at 14:45 MT time.
Joe Biden is going to unveil a Covid-19 relief package of about $2 trillion. After this announcement, the 10-year Treasury yield rose, adding support for the USD.
The US dollar’s weakness offered a boost to emerging-market currencies and oil.