The main market tendency today is that the US dollar is rising against its major peers and riskier assets such as stocks and oil are plummeting.
ECB press conference: live coverage
As expected, the European Central Bank left monetary policy unchanged. The ECB increased GDP growth forecast from 2.3% to 2.4%. At the same time, the regulator pointed out that protectionist policies create negative risks. Inflation is expected to remain subdued this year. Inflation forecast for 2019 was reduced from 1.5% to 1.4%.
At the press conference, the ECB President Mario Draghi the ECB still expects the interest rate to remain at the current level for a long time.
The ECB has removed the sentence “If the outlook becomes less favorable… we stand ready to increase the asset purchase program in terms of side and/or duration” from its statement. According to Draghi, this move of the ECB doesn’t signal any policy changes. Actually, the regulator members didn’t discuss the changes much.
Draghi also claimed that what happened recently is not a trade war yet.
EUR/USD spiked to 1.2445 before sliding to 1.2410.
The USD continues dipping, while the GBP is rising on hopes for the Brexit deal done today.
US stocks and oil slipped as Donald Trump threatened not to sign a long-awaited stimulus bill into law. The market sentiment had been already fragile, and Trump’s comments worsened it even more.
The European Central Bank will publish the monetary policy statement with the interest rate decision on January 21, at 14:45 MT time.
Joe Biden is going to unveil a Covid-19 relief package of about $2 trillion. After this announcement, the 10-year Treasury yield rose, adding support for the USD.
The US dollar’s weakness offered a boost to emerging-market currencies and oil.