The overall market sentiment is risk-on. The S&P 500 index (US 500) is getting close to the all-time high. Oil is recovering quickly from its recent losses.
Emergency in Japan as coronavirus spreads
Instruments to trade: USD/JPY, CAD/JPY, AUD/JPY
Coronavirus pushes to recession countries one by one. This time it gets to Japan, known as one of the world’s hardest working nation.
Soft lockdown in Japan
As coronavirus cases surged in the country, Prime Minister Shinzo Abe declared the state of emergency in the largest population centers that make up almost 50% of GDP, according to Bloomberg.
In fact, the lockdown isn’t as strict in Japan as in other countries today, it’s just a request to stay at home and close businesses, not an order. So, perhaps the downturn of economic activity won’t be so extreme. However, according to Japan economists, people will take it seriously this time.
Moreover, Japan Prime Minister will rescue the country’s economy by almost 1 trillion US dollars stimulus package equal to 20% of Japan's economic output. It’s more than double the amount Japan spent following the crisis in 2008.
Many economists believe that Japan has already fallen into recession because of export declines, supply-chain disruptions and travel bans. There are fears that economy is going to shrink close to 20% in a lockdown.
As we could notice, if coronavirus cases rise, the stock market volatility rises too. As a result, Japanese yen may lose its safe-heaven status.
The Bank of Canada will publish a rate statement and update on the interest rate on Wednesday, at 17:00 MT time.
Cathie Wood’s Ark Invest filed for the creation of a Bitcoin ETF. Apple and Amazon jumped and airlines and cruise operators dropped as the reflation trade waned.
What events to follow and how to trade during the week of July 2-6?
EUR/USD retraced to 1.1870 after breaking out this level. It should be just a natural sell-off ahead of the further rally up.
The Fed held a much-awaited meeting yesterday. The bank hasn’t made any policy changes. As a result, the USD weakened and EUR/USD rocketed. Jump in to know all the latest news!