Last week several important economic updates influenced the Forex market. US preliminary GDP fell less than expected (0.6% actual vs. 0.7% forecast). Below you will find the key events to trade on during the week from August 29 to September 2.
Emerging market updates
- USD/ZAR has been trading near the crossover of 100-day and 200-day SMAs. Today, traders need to pay attention to the State of the Nation (Sona) address where President Ramaphosa is expected to make comments on the future of Eskom. Will the support package be delivered to the South African electricity public utility? Let’s find out at 18:00 MT time. If the rand is supported, bears will push USD/ZAR below the 14.2761 level. The next support will lie at 14.14. If the ZAR weakens, the pair will rise back above the 50-day SMA. Bulls need to push the pair above the 14.47-14.53 levels to restore the uptrend.
- The Turkish lira was hurt by the news that the US considers three sanctions packages. Today, the Turkish president Tayyip Erdogan said that if Washington imposes sanctions, the countermeasures come immediately. On H4, USD/TRY tested the 5.81 level on his comments. Further uncertainties may push the pair above this level to the resistance at 5.84. Bears will keep the 5.7198 and 5.6975 levels in focus. As far as they are broken, the next support will be placed at 5.6606.
- The Singapore dollar has been strengthening since the beginning of the Asian trading session. USD/SGD has fallen below the 100-day SMA. At the moment, it is testing the support at 1.3560. After the break, bears will target the 1.3533-1.3520 levels. Break below this zone will pull the pair lower to the 1.3469 level. From the upside, there is a resistance at 1.3650 (200-day SMA). Next resistance levels are placed at 1.3688 and 1.3719.
Last week, there were sharp swings in USDJPY, a decline in oil prices, and a surge in Tesla stock. What's next?
Geopolitical factors and inflation remain the main drivers of financial markets. Let’s see how to use that in trading!
Main news that will drive the market in the upcoming week include CB Consumer Confidence Index, Canadian GDP, and US Core PCE Price Index
The Federal Reserve (Fed) will announce its Interest Rate Decision and make a statement about the future monetary policy on Wednesday, September 21, GMT+3. After the higher-than-expected inflation numbers published on September 13, there’s almost no doubt the Federal Reserve will come up with another 75-basis-point rate hike. However, surprised by the CPI numbers, several Fed members announced the possibility of a 100-basis-point rate hike on Wednesday.
Every week we expect many interesting events that can shake the market.