It will be the hottest week of September, with four central banks’ meetings, five PMI releases, and a lot to trade.
Euro zone business surge speeds down more than expected
In July, euro zone business surge speeded down more than anticipated because worries over a trade conflict with America as well as a weaker global expansion affected market sentiment, as a poll uncovered on Tuesday.
However, surge was still firm in the face of soaring prices. Meanwhile, the ECB policymakers are considering moving away from their current extremely loose monetary policy.
Traditionally considered to be a gauge of economic health, IHS Markit's Euro Zone Composite Flash Purchasing Managers' Index headed south in July hitting 54.3 in contrast with June's outcome of 54.9, confounding all estimates in a Reuters survey that hoped for 54.8. By the way, the figure above 50 stands for surge.
In addition to this, in July, Germany's private sector managed to ascend faster than anticipated, as earlier figures uncovered, although French business surge relieved more than anticipated. Germany and France appear to be the only euro zone members to boast flash numbers.
Worries that trade conflict around the globe is worsening have impacted confidence. Additionally, the future output index, gauging optimism, edged down from 63.4 to 63.0, thus become its lowest outcome since late 2016.
Meanwhile, America slapped duties on some Chinese imports, threatening to continue, Donald Trump dared to label the EU as a trade enemy of the United States.
Market experts point out that with the risk of a full-fledged trade conflict soaring steadily, it makes no sense to expect any sustained improvements in industry confidence and export orders for the next months.
A PMI, which covers the European bloc's dominant service industry, inched down to 54.4 from June's reading of 55.2, confounding hopes for a shallower sink to 55.0.
However, factories ramped down their purchasing of raw materials. Besides this, the quantity of purchases index edged down from 53.3 to 53.0, which is its lowest value since September 2016.
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