Euro zone economy will rebound in 2020

Euro zone economy will rebound in 2020

The euro zone economy is going to rebound in 2020 from this year’s deceleration, while unemployment is going to proceed with its dive, although inflation will probably stay at this year's levels and also below the ECB’s objective. That’s what the European Commission informed on Tuesday.

As the European Union's executive arm told in a quarterly economic estimate for the EU's 28 members that euro zone GDP would tack on by 1.2% in 2019, which appears to be slower than 1.3% observed in February, and quite below the 1.9% surge last year. However, it might rebound to 1.5% next year.

Unemployment in 19 countries of the euro zone is expected to head south to 7.3% in 2020 from 7.7% anticipated in 2019.

In 2020, negative domestic factors are anticipated to recede and economic activity outside the European bloc to rebound, underpinned by improving global financial conditions as well as policy stimulus in some emerging economies.

As for euro zone inflation, it’s expected to stay below the ECB's objective, although close to 2% because notwithstanding the faster surge in 2020, prices would tack on just 1.4%, which is the same outcome as in 2019.

The EU’s major bank anticipates euro zone inflation at 1.2% in 2019 and 1.5% in 2020 and has already uncovered plans to provide greater stimulus through another round of very cheap loans to financial institutions to stimulate the EU economy.

Due to the deceleration in 2019, the aggregated budget deficit of the euro zone is going to tack on to 0.9% of GDP from 0.5% in 2018, and keep to 0.9% next year.

Moreover, aggregated euro zone debt will probably decrease to 85.8% of GDP in 2019 from last year’s outcome of 87.1% and keep diving to 84.3% next year.


What will move the market on November 8-12?
What will move the market on November 8-12?

The last week was so eventful for traders: FOMC Meeting, Bank of England’s rate decision, the OPEC+ meeting, and also NFP. This week is going to be interesting as well! Let’s see what you should focus on.

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FED and BOE Make Another Attempt to Beat Inflation
FED and BOE Make Another Attempt to Beat Inflation

The Federal Reserve (Fed) will announce its Interest Rate Decision and make a statement about the future monetary policy on Wednesday, September 21, GMT+3. After the higher-than-expected inflation numbers published on September 13, there’s almost no doubt the Federal Reserve will come up with another 75-basis-point rate hike. However, surprised by the CPI numbers, several Fed members announced the possibility of a 100-basis-point rate hike on Wednesday.

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