Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s comments on the Jackson Hole Symposium resulted in the worst weekly candle in US500 since June.
European Economy Is Shaking
What is happening?
Germany will release the flash Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) on March 24, at 10:30 MT time (GMT+2). It’s an index based on purchasing managers’ surveys in the manufacturing and services industries. All numbers above the 50.0 level indicate industry expansion; numbers that are below the level show contraction. The market hasn’t seen a manufacturing index below 50.0 for 18 months, but it’s far from the historical highs of March 2021. Services PMI is also in the expansion zone, but the EU’s rising prices and supply shortages will greatly affect further readings.
What is happening with the euro?
PMI data might be released months ahead of the official data. That’s why the PMI surveys are considered to be one of the world’s most market-moving economic data releases. Geopolitical tensions and wars never take a toll. The economic activity decrease can’t help but to affect the PMI data.
The PMI may fall in this month and continue to decrease later. It will push the euro lower due to the economy weakening. EURUSD is at its lowest since 2020. The US Fed’s rates hike and low PMI numbers may put USD into a stronger position, pushing the chart lower to 1.0600.
How to trade on PMI readings?
As PMI is the essential index, it may influence all EUR pairs greatly. To catch a significant price movement, you can follow other news related to EUR and analyze all the events comprehensively.
- If the actual numbers beat expectations – EUR will rise.
- Otherwise, it might fall.
Check Economic Calendar.
Instruments to trade: EURCHF, EURUSD, EURJPY, EURCAD.
Last week several important economic updates influenced the Forex market. US preliminary GDP fell less than expected (0.6% actual vs. 0.7% forecast). Below you will find the key events to trade on during the week from August 29 to September 2.
The United States will publish the Inflation Rate and Core Inflation Rate, also known as US CPI and Core CPI, on August 10 at 15:30 GMT+3.
Main news that will drive the market in the upcoming week include CB Consumer Confidence Index, Canadian GDP, and US Core PCE Price Index
The Federal Reserve (Fed) will announce its Interest Rate Decision and make a statement about the future monetary policy on Wednesday, September 21, GMT+3. After the higher-than-expected inflation numbers published on September 13, there’s almost no doubt the Federal Reserve will come up with another 75-basis-point rate hike. However, surprised by the CPI numbers, several Fed members announced the possibility of a 100-basis-point rate hike on Wednesday.
Every week we expect many interesting events that can shake the market.